OVID (Ovid Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-0.26 (As of Aug. 23, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OVID Ovid Therapeutics Inc OVID
34 GF Score
Price $2.80
GF Value $0.98
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Ovid Therapeutics OVID +2.19% 34 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.26 as of Aug. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates OVID with a GF Score™ of 34/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.98 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 259 Biotechnology companies, Ovid Therapeutics ranks worse than 386100% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-23), Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.26. The stock price of Ovid Therapeutics is $2.795. Therefore, Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ovid Therapeutics was 10.35. The lowest was 10.35. And the median was 10.35.

OVID's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.23
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Ovid Therapeutics  (NAS:OVID) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.795/-0.25622043498609
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ovid Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.31 -1.20 -2.07 -2.55 -1.47

Ovid Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.64 -1.47 -0.45 -0.26

OVID vs SGMT, CABA, QTTB: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ovid Therapeutics Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


OVID
34GF Score
Ovid Therapeutics Inc OVID
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ovid Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-22.95.

Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-22.9512+209.89*0.8)/197.453
=-0.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-0.26 mean?
Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-0.26 as of Aug. 23, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ovid Therapeutics and its competitors. Over the past decade, Ovid Therapeutics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 10.35 to 10.35. According to the industry distribution chart, Ovid Therapeutics ranks #999999 out of 259 companies in the Biotechnology industry.
Is Ovid Therapeutics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Ovid Therapeutics' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 10.35 to a high of 10.35. Based on the distribution chart, Ovid Therapeutics ranks #999999 out of 259 companies in the Biotechnology industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Ovid Therapeutics has a GF Score™ of 34/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ovid Therapeutics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SGMT and CABA?
According to the Biotechnology industry distribution chart, Ovid Therapeutics ranks #999999 out of 259 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Ovid Therapeutics in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.23. Historically, Ovid Therapeutics' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 10.35 to 10.35 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Biotechnology company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Biotechnology companies is 2.23, based on 259 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ovid Therapeutics and its competitors. For the Biotechnology industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.23 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ovid Therapeutics's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ovid Therapeutics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.98, compared to a current price of $2.80 — trading 185.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.26. Ovid Therapeutics' overall GF Score™ is 34/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ovid Therapeutics (OVID), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.26 as of Aug. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ovid Therapeutics stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $2.80 is trading 185.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.98. GuruFocus considers Ovid Therapeutics to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for OVID:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-0.26
  • GF Value™: $0.98 vs. price of $2.80 (185.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 34/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OVID stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ovid Therapeutics Business Description

Other Exchanges 1OT:Germany
Address 441 Ninth Avenue, 14th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Ovid Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company that is dedicated to reducing seizures and meaningfully improving the lives of people affected by rare epilepsies and seizure-related neurological disorders. The company has built a differentiated pipeline of medicines with potential first-in-class drug mechanisms of action to treat seizures. This pipeline has produced two epilepsy programs with potential first-in-class mechanisms of action, and one epilepsy program with a potential best-in-class mechanism of action.
34GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OVID

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.80
Price
$0.98
GF Value