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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-29.33 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-29.33. The stock price of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings is $18.99. Therefore, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings was 30.52. The lowest was 1.81. And the median was 3.57.

NCLH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Industry Median: 1.2
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.25 -1.90 -19.71 -26.53 -29.33

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -26.53 -25.92 -23.53 -21.90 -29.33

Competitive Comparison of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Travel Services subindustry, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1,335.90.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-1335.90496+300.807*0.8)/425.437
=-29.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings  (NYSE:NCLH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.99/-29.328994229447
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings) Business Description

Address
7665 Corporate Center Drive, Miami, FL, USA, 33126
Norwegian Cruise Line is the world's third-largest cruise company by berths (at more than 66,000), operating 31 ships across three brands (Norwegian, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas), offering both freestyle and luxury cruising. The company had redeployed its entire fleet as of May 2022. With six passenger vessels on order among its brands through 2028 (representing 16,500 incremental berths), Norwegian is increasing capacity faster than its peers, expanding its brand globally. Norwegian sails to around 700 global destinations.
Executives
Jose E. Cil director 5505 BLUE LAGOON DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Daniel S Farkas officer: EVP Gen. Counsel & Asst. Sec'y 5840 SW 117TH STREET, CORAL GABLES FL 33156
Faye L. Ashby officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Patrik Dahlgren officer: EVP, Vessel Operations 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Del Rio Frank J director, officer: Pres. & CEO 8300 NW 33RD STREET, SUITE 100, MIAMI FL 33122
Mark Kempa officer: EVP & CFO 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
David Herrera officer: Pres. NCL 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Del Rio Frank A. officer: Pres. Oceania Cruises C/O NEW BEGINNINGS ACQUISITION CORP., 800 1ST STREET, UNIT 1, MIAMI FL 33139
Andrea Demarco officer: Pres. RSSC 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Jason Montague officer: Pres. & CEO of RSSC C/O PRESTIGE CRUISES INTERNATIONAL, INC., 8300 NW 33RD STREET, SUITE 100, MIAMI FL 33122
Zillah Byng-thorne director 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Howard J Sherman officer: Pres. & CEO Oceania Cruises 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Russell W Galbut director 7665 CORPORATE DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Harry C Curtis director C/O NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS, 7300 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Robert Binder officer: Vice Chair, Pres. & CEO OCI 7665 CORPORATE CENTER DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126