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Great Wall Motor Co (Great Wall Motor Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $11.21 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Great Wall Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Great Wall Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.21. The stock price of Great Wall Motor Co is $14.24. Therefore, Great Wall Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Great Wall Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GWLLY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58   Med: 1.46   Max: 3.53
Current: 1.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Great Wall Motor Co was 3.53. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 1.46.

GWLLY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
56.61% of 892 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs GWLLY: 1.27

Great Wall Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Great Wall Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Great Wall Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Great Wall Motor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.68 10.96 17.13 16.19 11.23

Great Wall Motor Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.53 16.69 12.36 11.23 -

Competitive Comparison of Great Wall Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Great Wall Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Great Wall Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Great Wall Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Great Wall Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Great Wall Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Great Wall Motor Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $317.10.

Great Wall Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.228282734574*317.1032+0/0.8)/849.408
=4.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Great Wall Motor Co  (OTCPK:GWLLY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Great Wall Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.24/4.9384168569616
=2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Great Wall Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Great Wall Motor Co (Great Wall Motor Co) Business Description

Address
No. 2266 Chaoyang Road South, Hebei Province, Baoding, CHN, 071000
Chinese automobile manufacturer Great Wall Motor is China's market leader in the SUV and pickup truck segments. In 2022, the company sold over 615,000 Haval-branded SUVs and 160,000 WEY- and Tank-branded SUVs, making it the largest SUV manufacturer by sales volume for the 12th year. It also sold more than 195,000 pickup trucks, also ranked number one in sales volume for 25 consecutive years. China's domestic market accounts for about 90% of Great Wall's revenue, with the balance coming from Russia, the Middle East, South Africa, Australia, and Chile, among others.

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