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Echo Trading Co (TSE:7427) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円1,644.94 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Echo Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Echo Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円1,644.94. The stock price of Echo Trading Co is 円1209.00. Therefore, Echo Trading Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Echo Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7427' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.27   Med: 0.57   Max: 1.05
Current: 0.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Echo Trading Co was 1.05. The lowest was 0.27. And the median was 0.57.

TSE:7427's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
70.92% of 1231 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.14 vs TSE:7427: 0.73

Echo Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Echo Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Echo Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Echo Trading Co Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,026.78 1,887.50 1,980.91 876.91 1,644.94

Echo Trading Co Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1,644.94 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Echo Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Echo Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Echo Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Echo Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Echo Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Echo Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Echo Trading Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円210.76.

Echo Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.770154119158*210.76271428571+9553.106*0.8)/6.026
=1,644.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Echo Trading Co  (TSE:7427) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Echo Trading Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1209.00/1644.9438625007
=0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Echo Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Echo Trading Co (TSE:7427) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 1 No. 23 in Nishinomiya, Hyogo Prefecture Naruohama 2-chome, Nishinomiya, JPN, 663-8142
Echo Trading Co Ltd is a Japan-based company offering diversified products and services for pets. The company is engaged in specialty store business, wholesale business, product development business, education business, sales promotion business, event business, and internet business. Its specialty store business, wholesale business, and product development business are engaged in the production and distribution of pet food and pet supplies to pet home centers, supermarkets, and drug stores. Its internet business transmits information useful for pet owners and pet lives such as searching for pet-related facilities such as animal hospitals and trimming salons, and travel knowledge on pets.

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