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Alleghany (Alleghany) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $1,482.20 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Alleghany Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), Alleghany's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,482.20. The stock price of Alleghany is $847.79. Therefore, Alleghany's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alleghany's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

Y' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28   Med: 0.66   Max: 1.1
Current: 0.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alleghany was 1.10. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 0.66.

Y's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 0.665 vs Y: 0.57

Alleghany Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alleghany's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alleghany Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alleghany Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 807.02 753.99 894.72 1,040.26 1,329.08

Alleghany Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,181.19 1,265.26 1,329.08 1,420.26 1,482.20

Competitive Comparison of Alleghany's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Alleghany's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alleghany's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Alleghany's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alleghany's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alleghany Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alleghany's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $981.22.

Alleghany's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.878285919786*981.22368+7906.67*0.8)/13.455
=1,482.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alleghany  (NYSE:Y) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alleghany's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=847.79/1482.2028080494
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alleghany Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alleghany's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alleghany (Alleghany) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1411 Broadway, 34th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10018
Alleghany Corp is a property and casualty insurance company that owns and manages subsidiaries that operate reinsurance and insurance operations. The company also executes certain private capital investments. The company classifies its business into three reportable segments: reinsurance, insurance, and Alleghany Capital. These segments' underwriting activities are evaluated separately from investment and corporate activities. Reinsurance contracts are generally classified as a treaty or facultative contracts. Treaty reinsurance provides for the automatic reinsuring of all or a portion of a specified class of risk underwritten by the ceding company. Facultative reinsurance is geared toward individual risks.
Executives
Christopher Kent Dalrymple officer: VP and General Counsel C/O DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS INC 9 FARM SPRINGS ROAD FARMINGTON CT 06032
Ian H Chippendale director TRANSATLANTIC HOLDINGS, INC. 80 PINE ST NEW YORK NY 10005
Joseph Patrick Brandon officer: Executive Vice President C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
Chris H Cheesman director C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
Kerry J Jacobs officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
William K Lavin director 375 PARK AVENUE SUITE 3201 NEW YORK NY 10152
John F Shannon officer: SVP, chief investment officer C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
Phillip M Martineau director 414 EAST THIRD STREET PO BOX 1109 MUSCATINE IA 52761
Lauren M Tyler director C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION, 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Jefferson Kirby director ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 7 TIMES SQUARE TOWER, 17TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10036
Rex D Adams director
Raymond Wong director C/O SPRING MOUNTAIN CAPITAL, LP 650 MADISON AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022
James F Will director ST VINCENT COLLEGE, 300 PRASER PURCHASE RD, LATROBE PA 15650
Roger Bryce Gorham officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
Sennott John Langton Jr officer: SVP C/O ALLEGHANY CORPORATION 1411 BROADWAY, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018

Alleghany (Alleghany) Headlines

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