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The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is The a2 Milk Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:A2M' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.52   Med: -2.41   Max: -1.11
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The a2 Milk Co was -1.11. The lowest was -2.52. And the median was -2.41.


The a2 Milk Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The a2 Milk Co Beneish M-Score Chart

The a2 Milk Co Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.47 -2.44 -2.52 -2.48

The a2 Milk Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 - -2.52 - -2.48

Competitive Comparison of The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The a2 Milk Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The a2 Milk Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The a2 Milk Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8607+0.528 * 0.9893+0.404 * 0.8392+0.892 * 1.1143+0.115 * 1.0601
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2751+4.679 * 0.026414-0.327 * 0.9439
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$72 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,454 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$676 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,026 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,473 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$240 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$17 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$493 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$347 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$75 Mil.
Net Income was A$142 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$102 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$75 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,305 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$600 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,059 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,551 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$232 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$17 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$347 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$398 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$73 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(72.412 / 1454.43) / (75.499 / 1305.236)
=0.049787 / 0.057843
=0.8607

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(599.864 / 1305.236) / (675.677 / 1454.43)
=0.459583 / 0.464565
=0.9893

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1025.731 + 240.013) / 1473.285) / (1 - (1058.878 + 231.963) / 1551.244)
=0.14087 / 0.167867
=0.8392

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1454.43 / 1305.236
=1.1143

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17.113 / (17.113 + 231.963)) / (16.634 / (16.634 + 240.013))
=0.068706 / 0.064813
=1.0601

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(493.367 / 1454.43) / (347.227 / 1305.236)
=0.339217 / 0.266026
=1.2751

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((75.274 + 346.638) / 1473.285) / ((72.714 + 397.946) / 1551.244)
=0.286375 / 0.303408
=0.9439

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(142.27 - 1.629 - 101.725) / 1473.285
=0.026414

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The a2 Milk Co has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The a2 Milk Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) Business Description

Address
51 Shortland Street, P.O. Box 163, Level 10, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1010
A2 Milk is a New Zealand licensor and marketer of fresh milk, infant formula, and other dairy products that lack the A1 beta-casein protein. The firm was founded in 2000 by Corran McLachlan, who developed a genetic test to determine which proteins a cow produces in its milk, and business partner Howard Paterson. The company has been through a tumultuous history of receivership, legal battles, and strategic shifts, but emerged in its current structure in 2006 and listed publicly in March 2013.

The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) Headlines

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