The a2 Milk CoASX:A2M +1.27%83 Altman Z2-Score is 10.11 as of Jun. 29, 2026, which is 2% above its 10-year median of 9.96. GuruFocus rates ASX:A2M with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of A$6.67 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,965 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, The a2 Milk Co ranks better than 89.11% on this metric.
Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Good Sign:
The a2 Milk Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 10.11, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:A2M'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.86 Med: 9.96 Max: 12.17
Current: 10.11
During the past 13 years, The a2 Milk Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 12.17. The lowest was 6.86. And the median was 9.96.
The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
The a2 Milk Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms
The a2 Milk Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The a2 Milk Co Altman Z2-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
6.56
*
X1
+
3.26
*
X2
+
6.72
*
X3
+
1.05
*
X4_2
=
6.56
*
0.5154
+
3.26
*
0.8404
+
6.72
*
0.1502
+
1.05
*
2.8374
=
10.11
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) has a Altman Z2-Score of 10.11 as of Jun. 29, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on The a2 Milk Co and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 9.96. Over the past decade, The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 6.86 to 12.17. According to the industry distribution chart, The a2 Milk Co ranks #214 out of 1965 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 10.9%.
Is The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
The a2 Milk Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 10.11 is near median its 10-year median of 9.96. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.86 to a high of 12.17. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.72. The a2 Milk Co's value of 10.11 is 171.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The a2 Milk Co ranks #214 out of 1965 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, The a2 Milk Co has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The a2 Milk Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, The a2 Milk Co ranks #214 out of 1965 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places The a2 Milk Co in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.72. The a2 Milk Co's value of 10.11 is 171.8% above this benchmark. Historically, The a2 Milk Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 6.86 to 12.17 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 9.96 vs. the industry median of 3.72, The a2 Milk Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 3.72, based on 1,965 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The a2 Milk Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 10.11 is 171.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on The a2 Milk Co and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.72 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The a2 Milk Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 10.11, which is near median its own 10-year median of 9.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The a2 Milk Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$6.67, compared to a current price of A$7.19 — trading 7.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 10.11, which is near median its 10-year median of 9.96 and 171.8% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 3.72. The a2 Milk Co's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M), the current Altman Z2-Score is 10.11 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is The a2 Milk Co (ASX:A2M) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The a2 Milk Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$7.19 is trading 7.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$6.67.
GuruFocus considers The a2 Milk Co to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:A2M:
Altman Z2-Score: 10.11 (near median its 10-year median of 9.96)
GF Value™: A$6.67 vs. price of A$7.19 (7.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 171.8% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#214 of 1965)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:A2M stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
A2 Milk is a New Zealand licensor and marketer of fresh milk, infant formula, and other dairy products that lack the A1 beta-casein protein. The firm was founded in 2000 by Corran McLachlan, who developed a genetic test to determine which proteins a cow produces in its milk, and business partner Howard Paterson. The company has been through a tumultuous history of receivership, legal battles, and strategic shifts, but emerged in its current structure in 2006 and listed publicly in March 2013.
83GF Score
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