Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ASX:CKF Collins Foods Ltd ASX:CKF
82 GF Score
Price A$8.27
GF Value A$10.34
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Collins Foods Beneish M-Score?

Collins Foods ASX:CKF -0.96% 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:CKF with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of A$10.34 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 357 Restaurants companies, Collins Foods ranks better than 67.79% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:CKF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.3   Med: -2.83   Max: 0.11
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Collins Foods was 0.11. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.83.


Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Chart

Collins Foods Annual Data
Trend Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.02 -2.46 0.11 -3.30 -2.98

Collins Foods Semi-Annual Data
Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.11 0.00 -3.30 0.00 -2.98

ASX:CKF vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Collins Foods Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:CKF
82GF Score
Collins Foods Ltd ASX:CKF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Collins Foods for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1018+0.528 * 0.9871+0.404 * 0.9935+0.892 * 1.0206+0.115 * 0.9619
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0962+4.679 * -0.122431-0.327 * 1.0195
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr25) TTM:Last Year (Apr24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$9 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,519 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$776 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$146 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,483 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$751 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$111 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$562 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$235 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$835 Mil.
Net Income was A$9 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$181 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$8 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,489 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$751 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$110 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,418 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$744 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$106 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$503 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$218 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$787 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9.227 / 1519.489) / (8.205 / 1488.884)
=0.006072 / 0.005511
=1.1018

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(750.948 / 1488.884) / (776.424 / 1519.489)
=0.50437 / 0.510977
=0.9871

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (146.259 + 750.624) / 1483.047) / (1 - (109.596 + 744.4) / 1418.226)
=0.395243 / 0.397842
=0.9935

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1519.489 / 1488.884
=1.0206

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(105.68 / (105.68 + 744.4)) / (111.414 / (111.414 + 750.624))
=0.124318 / 0.129245
=0.9619

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(562.208 / 1519.489) / (502.56 / 1488.884)
=0.369998 / 0.337541
=1.0962

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((835.435 + 235.322) / 1483.047) / ((786.698 + 217.654) / 1418.226)
=0.721998 / 0.708175
=1.0195

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8.834 - 8.963 - 181.442) / 1483.047
=-0.122431

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Collins Foods has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 mean?
Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Collins Foods and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Collins Foods ranks #115 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 32.2%.
Is Collins Foods' Beneish M-Score too high?
Collins Foods' current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Based on the distribution chart, Collins Foods ranks #115 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Collins Foods has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Collins Foods' Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Collins Foods ranks #115 out of 357 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Collins Foods in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Collins Foods and its competitors. Collins Foods's current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Collins Foods stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$10.34, compared to a current price of A$8.27 — trading 20% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Collins Foods' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Collins Foods (ASX:CKF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Collins Foods stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$8.27 is trading 20% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$10.34. GuruFocus considers Collins Foods to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:CKF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.98
  • GF Value™: A$10.34 vs. price of A$8.27 (20% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:CKF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Collins Foods Business Description

Address 485 Kingsford Smith Drive, Level 3, KSD1, Hamilton, QLD, AUS, 4007
Collins Foods is an operator of quick service restaurants, or QSRs. It franchises restaurant brands from US-listed Yum Brands, including KFC in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands. Revenue and earnings are largely generated in Australia, where Collins is the largest KFC franchisee. Earnings growth is underpinned by its store network expansion, both new restaurants and acquisitions of existing sites. Competitive pricing is key to maintaining share in the QSR market, and the company has generally increased at or below consumer price index growth.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:CKF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$8.27
Price
A$10.34
GF Value