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Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) Beneish M-Score : 0.11 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Collins Foods Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.11 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:CKF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.46   Med: -2.64   Max: 0.11
Current: 0.11

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Collins Foods was 0.11. The lowest was -3.46. And the median was -2.64.


Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Chart

Collins Foods Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -3.16 -3.02 -2.46 0.11

Collins Foods Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.46 - 0.11 -

Competitive Comparison of Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Collins Foods's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Collins Foods for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 4.2028+0.528 * 1.0474+0.404 * 0.9887+0.892 * 1.1385+0.115 * 1.0083
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0816+4.679 * -0.100916-0.327 * 1.0438
=0.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr23) TTM:Last Year (Apr22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$20 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,349 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$676 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$130 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,370 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$690 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$98 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$502 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$179 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$799 Mil.
Net Income was A$13 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$146 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$4 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,185 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$622 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$114 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,283 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$649 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$93 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$408 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$166 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$711 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(20.099 / 1348.614) / (4.2 / 1184.521)
=0.014903 / 0.003546
=4.2028

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(622.163 / 1184.521) / (676.269 / 1348.614)
=0.525244 / 0.501455
=1.0474

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (130.305 + 690.338) / 1370.372) / (1 - (113.854 + 648.567) / 1282.971)
=0.401153 / 0.405738
=0.9887

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1348.614 / 1184.521
=1.1385

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(93.095 / (93.095 + 648.567)) / (98.154 / (98.154 + 690.338))
=0.125522 / 0.124483
=1.0083

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(502.151 / 1348.614) / (407.79 / 1184.521)
=0.372346 / 0.344266
=1.0816

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((798.729 + 179.158) / 1370.372) / ((710.617 + 166.489) / 1282.971)
=0.713592 / 0.683652
=1.0438

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12.746 - 4.823 - 146.216) / 1370.372
=-0.100916

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Collins Foods has a M-score of 0.11 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Collins Foods Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
485 Kingsford Smith Drive, Level 3, KSD1, Hamilton, QLD, AUS, 4007
Collins Foods is an operator of quick service restaurants, or QSRs. It franchises restaurant brands from U.S.-listed Yum Brands, including KFC in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands, as well as Taco Bell in Australia. Most of its revenue and earnings are generated in Australia, where Collins is the largest franchisee of KFC, ahead of Restaurant Brands New Zealand.In the Netherlands, Collins has signed a corporate franchise agreement, giving it more control over development and oversight of the Dutch franchisee network.Earnings growth is underpinned by its store network expansion, both new restaurants and acquisitions of existing sites. Competitive pricing is key to maintaining share in the QSR market, and the company has generally increased at or below consumer price index growth.

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