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Synlait Milk (ASX:SM1) Beneish M-Score : -2.96 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Synlait Milk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.96 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:SM1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.01
Current: -2.96

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Synlait Milk was -1.01. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.50.


Synlait Milk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Synlait Milk Beneish M-Score Chart

Synlait Milk Annual Data
Trend Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.50 -1.01 -1.33 -3.15 -2.96

Synlait Milk Semi-Annual Data
Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.15 - -2.96 -

Competitive Comparison of Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Synlait Milk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Synlait Milk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Synlait Milk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1448+0.528 * 0.9693+0.404 * 0.5408+0.892 * 0.813+0.115 * 0.8966
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3719+4.679 * -0.030169-0.327 * 1.0275
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul23) TTM:Last Year (Jul22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$77 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,220 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$147 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$513 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,557 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$957 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$59 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$78 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$570 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$204 Mil.
Net Income was A$-4 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$36 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$82 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,501 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$175 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$335 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,425 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$941 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$70 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$400 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$290 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(76.636 / 1220.364) / (82.348 / 1501.126)
=0.062798 / 0.054857
=1.1448

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(175.131 / 1501.126) / (146.885 / 1220.364)
=0.116666 / 0.120362
=0.9693

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (513.154 + 956.512) / 1557.483) / (1 - (335.003 + 941.087) / 1424.629)
=0.056384 / 0.104265
=0.5408

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1220.364 / 1501.126
=0.813

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(51.591 / (51.591 + 941.087)) / (58.856 / (58.856 + 956.512))
=0.051972 / 0.057965
=0.8966

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(77.719 / 1220.364) / (69.686 / 1501.126)
=0.063685 / 0.046422
=1.3719

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((203.916 + 570.427) / 1557.483) / ((289.578 + 399.779) / 1424.629)
=0.497176 / 0.483885
=1.0275

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-3.966 - 6.951 - 36.07) / 1557.483
=-0.030169

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Synlait Milk has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Synlait Milk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Synlait Milk (ASX:SM1) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1028 Heslerton Road, RD13, Rakaia, STL, NZL, 7783
Synlait Milk Ltd is a dairy processing company that benefits from a differentiated milk supply and unique operating environment in New Zealand. The business operates within one industry that includes the manufacture of milk powder and its related products, liquid milk, cheese, and butter. The company's success is largely due to its core infant nutrition business. Some of its key products include infant nutritional powders, whole milk powders, skim milk powders, anhydrous milk fat, and lactoferrin. The company is largely export-focused with China as its largest export market. The acquisition of two cheese companies resulted in an instant increase in the cheese segment and a more diversified earnings base.

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