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Sermsuk PCL (BKK:SSC-R) Beneish M-Score : -2.81 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Sermsuk PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SSC-R' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sermsuk PCL was -2.18. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.72.


Sermsuk PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sermsuk PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Sermsuk PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.09 -2.91 -3.00 -2.31 -2.70

Sermsuk PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.54 -2.70 -2.86 -2.81

Competitive Comparison of Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sermsuk PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Sermsuk PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sermsuk PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0188+0.528 * 0.9255+0.404 * 1.0045+0.892 * 1.0882+0.115 * 0.9825
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0195+4.679 * -0.078016-0.327 * 1.0512
=-2.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿1,057 Mil.
Revenue was 3276.942 + 3005.837 + 3145.979 + 3411.897 = ฿12,841 Mil.
Gross Profit was 962.915 + 916.433 + 938.336 + 967.65 = ฿3,785 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿4,153 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿14,083 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿8,121 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿551 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿3,728 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿2,454 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿282 Mil.
Net Income was 120.621 + 58.176 + 90.906 + 66.113 = ฿336 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 47.973 + 34.685 + 262.284 + 44.982 = ฿390 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 198.558 + 14.798 + 290.937 + 540.3 = ฿1,045 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿953 Mil.
Revenue was 2938.626 + 2874.531 + 3050.239 + 2936.416 = ฿11,800 Mil.
Gross Profit was 814.774 + 780.812 + 815.503 + 808.326 = ฿3,219 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿3,482 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿13,542 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿8,329 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿554 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿3,361 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿2,217 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿286 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1057.048 / 12840.655) / (953.4 / 11799.812)
=0.08232 / 0.080798
=1.0188

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3219.415 / 11799.812) / (3785.334 / 12840.655)
=0.272836 / 0.294793
=0.9255

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4152.999 + 8121.426) / 14083.088) / (1 - (3481.845 + 8328.832) / 13542.113)
=0.128428 / 0.127856
=1.0045

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12840.655 / 11799.812
=1.0882

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(554.13 / (554.13 + 8328.832)) / (550.579 / (550.579 + 8121.426))
=0.062381 / 0.063489
=0.9825

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3728.205 / 12840.655) / (3360.578 / 11799.812)
=0.290344 / 0.284799
=1.0195

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((282.187 + 2453.861) / 14083.088) / ((285.647 + 2217.265) / 13542.113)
=0.194279 / 0.184824
=1.0512

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(335.816 - 389.924 - 1044.593) / 14083.088
=-0.078016

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sermsuk PCL has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Sermsuk PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Sermsuk PCL (BKK:SSC-R) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Ratchadapisek Road, 90 CW Tower, 31st - 32nd Floor, Huay Khwang District, Bangkok, THA, 10310
Sermsuk PCL is a Thailand-based refreshment beverage company. It is engaged in the production and distribution of soft drinks and other beverages. The company's operating segments include Carbonated soft drinks and Non-Carbonated soft drinks. The Carbonated soft drink segment produces and distributes soft drinks, sports drinks, and soda. It generates maximum revenue from the Non-Carbonated soft drink segment. The Non-Carbonated soft drink segment produces and distributes drinking water, energy drinks, and other beverages as well as a distributor of tea. Geographically, it operates only in Thailand.

Sermsuk PCL (BKK:SSC-R) Headlines

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