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Lucara Diamond (BOT:LUC) Beneish M-Score : -2.42 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Lucara Diamond Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOT:LUC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.88   Med: -2.24   Max: 19.82
Current: -2.42

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lucara Diamond was 19.82. The lowest was -3.88. And the median was -2.24.


Lucara Diamond Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lucara Diamond Beneish M-Score Chart

Lucara Diamond Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 -0.93 -2.78 -3.31 -2.92

Lucara Diamond Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.53 -2.61 -2.34 -2.92 -2.42

Competitive Comparison of Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lucara Diamond's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lucara Diamond Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lucara Diamond for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.535+0.528 * 1.0189+0.404 * 1.0302+0.892 * 0.9373+0.115 * 1.4632
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2052+4.679 * -0.067334-0.327 * 1.2395
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was BWP328 Mil.
Revenue was 558.219 + 495.902 + 772.772 + 558.097 = BWP2,385 Mil.
Gross Profit was 161.682 + 78.14 + 311.448 + 233.118 = BWP784 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BWP1,059 Mil.
Total Assets was BWP8,034 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was BWP5,714 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was BWP256 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was BWP299 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BWP1,064 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was BWP1,900 Mil.
Net Income was -107.752 + -497.843 + 143.09 + 67.799 = BWP-395 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -177.804 + -179.88 + -4.438 + -17.818 = BWP-380 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -56.441 + 241.206 + 215.965 + 125.461 = BWP526 Mil.
Total Receivables was BWP228 Mil.
Revenue was 580.285 + 576.281 + 677.533 + 710.401 = BWP2,545 Mil.
Gross Profit was 196.491 + 173.353 + 149.142 + 333.637 = BWP853 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BWP1,301 Mil.
Total Assets was BWP7,195 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was BWP4,798 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was BWP321 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was BWP264 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BWP974 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was BWP1,167 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(327.774 / 2384.99) / (227.812 / 2544.5)
=0.137432 / 0.089531
=1.535

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(852.623 / 2544.5) / (784.388 / 2384.99)
=0.335085 / 0.328885
=1.0189

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1059.441 + 5714.462) / 8033.905) / (1 - (1301.217 + 4798.207) / 7194.786)
=0.156836 / 0.152244
=1.0302

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2384.99 / 2544.5
=0.9373

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(321.315 / (321.315 + 4798.207)) / (256.093 / (256.093 + 5714.462))
=0.062763 / 0.042893
=1.4632

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(298.774 / 2384.99) / (264.494 / 2544.5)
=0.125273 / 0.103947
=1.2052

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1899.904 + 1064.041) / 8033.905) / ((1167.002 + 974.488) / 7194.786)
=0.36893 / 0.297645
=1.2395

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-394.706 - -379.94 - 526.191) / 8033.905
=-0.067334

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lucara Diamond has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lucara Diamond Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lucara Diamond (BOT:LUC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1250 Homer Street, 502, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6B 2Y5
Lucara Diamond Corp is a diamond mining company engaged in the development and operations of diamond properties in Africa. Its business segment includes Karowe Mine, Corporate and other. The company earns the majority of its revenue from the Karowe Mine segment.

Lucara Diamond (BOT:LUC) Headlines

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