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The Hartford Financial Services Group (BSP:H1IG34) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is The Hartford Financial Services Group Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hartford Financial Services Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:H1IG34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.26   Med: -2.52   Max: -2.26
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Hartford Financial Services Group was -2.26. The lowest was -4.26. And the median was -2.52.


The Hartford Financial Services Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Hartford Financial Services Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9584+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9284+0.892 * 1.0399+0.115 * 1.1102
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.023444-0.327 * 0.952
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$62,281 Mil.
Revenue was R$119,212 Mil.
Gross Profit was R$119,212 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$276,863 Mil.
Total Assets was R$376,207 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$4,390 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,499 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$21,373 Mil.
Net Income was R$12,269 Mil.
Gross Profit was R$412 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R$20,677 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$62,488 Mil.
Revenue was R$114,633 Mil.
Gross Profit was R$114,633 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$273,978 Mil.
Total Assets was R$382,956 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$4,862 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$3,278 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$22,854 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(62281.358 / 119212.134) / (62488.45 / 114632.972)
=0.522441 / 0.545118
=0.9584

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(114632.972 / 114632.972) / (119212.134 / 119212.134)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (276863.199 + 4390.221) / 376206.644) / (1 - (273977.733 + 4862.486) / 382956.163)
=0.252396 / 0.271874
=0.9284

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=119212.134 / 114632.972
=1.0399

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3278.375 / (3278.375 + 4862.486)) / (2498.898 / (2498.898 + 4390.221))
=0.402706 / 0.362731
=1.1102

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 119212.134) / (0 / 114632.972)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21372.928 + 0) / 376206.644) / ((22854.208 + 0) / 382956.163)
=0.056812 / 0.059678
=0.952

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12269.099 - 411.583 - 20677.156) / 376206.644
=-0.023444

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Hartford Financial Services Group has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Hartford Financial Services Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Hartford Financial Services Group (BSP:H1IG34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Hartford Plaza, Hartford, CT, USA, 06155
The Hartford Financial Services Group Inc offers a diverse range of property and casualty insurance, group benefits, and mutual fund services to a customer base of individuals and corporations. It operates in five segments: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, Property & Casualty Other Operations, Group Benefits, and Hartford Funds, as well as a Corporate category.