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Sul America (BSP:SULA4) Beneish M-Score : -2.32 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Sul America Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.32 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sul America's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:SULA4' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.52   Med: -2.23   Max: 8.77
Current: -2.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sul America was 8.77. The lowest was -4.52. And the median was -2.23.


Sul America Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sul America for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.018+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0585+0.892 * 1.0985+0.115 * 0.8573
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.3984+4.679 * 0.00932-0.327 * 1.3118
=-2.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep22) TTM:Last Year (Sep21) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$3,312 Mil.
Revenue was 6264.516 + 5818.424 + 5570.132 + 5474.453 = R$23,128 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6264.516 + 5818.424 + 5570.132 + 5474.453 = R$23,128 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$9,596 Mil.
Total Assets was R$30,219 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$224 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$161 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$475 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$1,038 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$3,190 Mil.
Net Income was 49.169 + 138.866 + 24.392 + -31.005 = R$181 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 44.958 + 106.973 + 54.617 + 108.642 = R$315 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 257.387 + 305.264 + -906.37 + -71.689 = R$-415 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$2,961 Mil.
Revenue was 5342.877 + 5229.311 + 5215.038 + 5266.73 = R$21,054 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5342.877 + 5229.311 + 5215.038 + 5266.73 = R$21,054 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$9,787 Mil.
Total Assets was R$27,711 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$252 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$140 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$1,085 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$673 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$2,283 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3311.552 / 23127.525) / (2961.355 / 21053.956)
=0.143187 / 0.140656
=1.018

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(21053.956 / 21053.956) / (23127.525 / 23127.525)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9595.728 + 224.476) / 30219.218) / (1 - (9787.425 + 251.714) / 27711.292)
=0.675034 / 0.637724
=1.0585

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23127.525 / 21053.956
=1.0985

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(140.367 / (140.367 + 251.714)) / (160.951 / (160.951 + 224.476))
=0.358005 / 0.417591
=0.8573

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(474.746 / 23127.525) / (1084.812 / 21053.956)
=0.020527 / 0.051525
=0.3984

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3189.951 + 1038.243) / 30219.218) / ((2283.043 + 672.765) / 27711.292)
=0.139917 / 0.106664
=1.3118

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(181.422 - 315.19 - -415.408) / 30219.218
=0.00932

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sul America has a M-score of -2.32 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Sul America Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Sul America (BSP:SULA4) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Rua Beatriz Larragoiti Lucas 121, 2nd Floor, South Wing, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 20211-903
Sul America SA provides insurance services. The company's operating segment includes Health; Life and private pension; Asset Management and others. It generates maximum revenue from the Health segment.