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CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPC Pharmaceutical Group) Beneish M-Score : -1.92 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHJTF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.38   Max: -1.77
Current: -1.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CSPC Pharmaceutical Group was -1.77. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.38.


CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Beneish M-Score Chart

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.46 -2.09 -2.59 -1.92

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Quarterly Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 - - - -1.92

Competitive Comparison of CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CSPC Pharmaceutical Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3736+0.528 * 1.0202+0.404 * 1.0423+0.892 * 0.9926+0.115 * 0.9951
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8828+4.679 * 0.036612-0.327 * 1.0045
=-1.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,473 Mil.
Revenue was $4,405 Mil.
Gross Profit was $3,106 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,746 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,482 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,631 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $157 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,447 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,426 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15 Mil.
Net Income was $823 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $585 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,080 Mil.
Revenue was $4,437 Mil.
Gross Profit was $3,192 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,436 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,991 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,574 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $150 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,651 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,285 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $41 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1472.508 / 4404.654) / (1080 / 4437.498)
=0.334307 / 0.24338
=1.3736

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3192.394 / 4437.498) / (3105.891 / 4404.654)
=0.719413 / 0.705138
=1.0202

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3745.686 + 1630.611) / 6481.915) / (1 - (3436.344 + 1574.497) / 5991.333)
=0.17057 / 0.163652
=1.0423

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4404.654 / 4437.498
=0.9926

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(150.313 / (150.313 + 1574.497)) / (156.507 / (156.507 + 1630.611))
=0.087148 / 0.087575
=0.9951

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1446.78 / 4404.654) / (1650.998 / 4437.498)
=0.328466 / 0.372056
=0.8828

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((14.994 + 1426.091) / 6481.915) / ((41.165 + 1284.909) / 5991.333)
=0.222324 / 0.221332
=1.0045

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(822.571 - 0 - 585.252) / 6481.915
=0.036612

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group has a M-score of -1.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPC Pharmaceutical Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 226 Huanghe Street, Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, CHN, 050035
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 1994 and is one of the largest pharmaceutical companies in China. Its biggest business segment is the finished drugs segment which accounts for nearly 80% of its total revenue. Now it has a diversified pipeline portfolio in seven therapeutic areas including nervous system diseases, oncology, anti-infective to cardiovascular disease, respiratory system disease, and metabolism. CSPC also has a bulk drug product segment including vitamin C, antibiotics, and a caffeine series.

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPC Pharmaceutical Group) Headlines

From GuruFocus

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