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Mueller Water Products, (FRA:JT5) Beneish M-Score : -2.78 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Mueller Water Products, Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:JT5' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.52   Max: -1.75
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mueller Water Products, was -1.75. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.52.


Mueller Water Products, Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mueller Water Products, Beneish M-Score Chart

Mueller Water Products, Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.66 -2.52 -2.32 -2.58

Mueller Water Products, Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.57 -2.58 -2.96 -2.78

Competitive Comparison of Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mueller Water Products,'s Beneish M-Score falls into.



Mueller Water Products, Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mueller Water Products, for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0873+0.528 * 0.8717+0.404 * 0.9098+0.892 * 0.9095+0.115 * 0.9814
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.993+4.679 * -0.043679-0.327 * 0.9973
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €215 Mil.
Revenue was 325.128 + 235.119 + 282.412 + 301.452 = €1,144 Mil.
Gross Profit was 119.968 + 79.137 + 82.831 + 92.392 = €374 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €689 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,416 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €310 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €60 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €219 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €195 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €434 Mil.
Net Income was 40.756 + 13.113 + 16.116 + 22.614 = €93 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -2.944 + -7.519 + -9.557 + -4.43 = €-24 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -5.244 + 62.264 + 52.941 + 68.948 = €179 Mil.
Total Receivables was €218 Mil.
Revenue was 310.929 + 297.171 + 334.714 + 315.207 = €1,258 Mil.
Gross Profit was 91.345 + 87.981 + 86.456 + 92.992 = €359 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €625 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,380 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €307 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €58 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €243 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €179 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €436 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(215.372 / 1144.111) / (217.809 / 1258.021)
=0.188244 / 0.173136
=1.0873

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(358.774 / 1258.021) / (374.328 / 1144.111)
=0.285189 / 0.327178
=0.8717

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (688.712 + 310.316) / 1416.248) / (1 - (625.406 + 307.473) / 1379.611)
=0.294595 / 0.32381
=0.9098

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1144.111 / 1258.021
=0.9095

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(58.299 / (58.299 + 307.473)) / (60.169 / (60.169 + 310.316))
=0.159386 / 0.162406
=0.9814

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(219.337 / 1144.111) / (242.877 / 1258.021)
=0.19171 / 0.193063
=0.993

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((434.332 + 195.316) / 1416.248) / ((436.365 + 178.674) / 1379.611)
=0.444589 / 0.445806
=0.9973

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(92.599 - -24.45 - 178.909) / 1416.248
=-0.043679

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mueller Water Products, has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Mueller Water Products, Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Mueller Water Products, (FRA:JT5) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1200 Abernathy Road N.E., Suite 1200, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
Mueller Water Products, Inc. is a U.S.-based company that manufactures and sells products and services used in the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water. The company operates in two segments Water Flow Solutions and Water Management Solutions. Water Flow Solutions' portfolio includes iron gate valves, specialty valves and service brass products. Water Management Solutions' portfolio includes fire hydrants, repair and installation, natural gas, metering, leak detection, and pressure management and control products and solutions. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the United states.

Mueller Water Products, (FRA:JT5) Headlines

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