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Lai Sun Development Co (HKSE:00488) Beneish M-Score : -2.12 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Lai Sun Development Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.12 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00488' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.08   Max: 1.2
Current: -2.12

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lai Sun Development Co was 1.20. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.08.


Lai Sun Development Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lai Sun Development Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Lai Sun Development Co Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.39 -2.86 -2.40 -2.58 -2.12

Lai Sun Development Co Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.58 - -2.12 -

Competitive Comparison of Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lai Sun Development Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lai Sun Development Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lai Sun Development Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.007+0.528 * 2.0417+0.404 * 1.06+0.892 * 0.9623+0.115 * 0.9995
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0923+4.679 * -0.034965-0.327 * 1.0283
=-2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul23) TTM:Last Year (Jul22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$1,131 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,902 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$728 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$16,410 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$73,970 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$10,489 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$824 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,162 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11,121 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$20,730 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-2,966 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-380 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$1,167 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,094 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,544 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$20,761 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$80,896 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$11,569 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$909 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,106 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$12,499 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$21,375 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1130.884 / 4901.537) / (1167.021 / 5093.703)
=0.23072 / 0.229111
=1.007

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1544.023 / 5093.703) / (727.728 / 4901.537)
=0.303124 / 0.148469
=2.0417

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16410.094 + 10488.929) / 73970.016) / (1 - (20760.857 + 11568.679) / 80895.634)
=0.636352 / 0.600355
=1.06

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4901.537 / 5093.703
=0.9623

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(908.652 / (908.652 + 11568.679)) / (824.319 / (824.319 + 10488.929))
=0.072824 / 0.072863
=0.9995

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1162.114 / 4901.537) / (1105.641 / 5093.703)
=0.237092 / 0.21706
=1.0923

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20729.821 + 11120.774) / 73970.016) / ((21374.614 + 12498.726) / 80895.634)
=0.430588 / 0.418729
=1.0283

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-2965.96 - 0 - -379.596) / 73970.016
=-0.034965

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lai Sun Development Co has a M-score of -2.12 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lai Sun Development Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lai Sun Development Co (HKSE:00488) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
680 Cheung Sha Wan Road, 11th Floor, Lai Sun Commercial Centre, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Lai Sun Development Co Ltd is an investment holding company. The company's operating segment includes property development and sales; property investment; hotel operation; restaurant operation; media and entertainment; film and TV programs; cinema operation; theme park operation and others. The property development and sales segment is engaged in property development and the sale of properties. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Hong Kong, Mainland China and Macau.

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