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China Water Affairs Group (HKSE:00855) Beneish M-Score : -2.28 (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.28 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00855' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.74
Current: -2.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Water Affairs Group was -1.74. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.33.


China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China Water Affairs Group Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.74 -2.39 -2.29 -2.28

China Water Affairs Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.29 - -2.28 -

Competitive Comparison of China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Water Affairs Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2644+0.528 * 1.0174+0.404 * 1.0062+0.892 * 1.0961+0.115 * 0.8683
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9646+4.679 * -0.026317-0.327 * 1.0261
=-2.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$6,714 Mil.
Revenue was HK$14,195 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$5,346 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$17,886 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$61,164 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,641 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,023 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,239 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$21,178 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$15,950 Mil.
Net Income was HK$1,857 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$3,466 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$4,844 Mil.
Revenue was HK$12,950 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,962 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$16,499 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$57,064 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,739 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$881 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,171 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$19,248 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$14,510 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6714.144 / 14194.953) / (4844.317 / 12949.828)
=0.472995 / 0.374084
=1.2644

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4962.2 / 12949.828) / (5346.297 / 14194.953)
=0.383187 / 0.376634
=1.0174

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17886.27 + 4641.118) / 61164.288) / (1 - (16498.915 + 4739.464) / 57064.442)
=0.631691 / 0.627818
=1.0062

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14194.953 / 12949.828
=1.0961

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(881.195 / (881.195 + 4739.464)) / (1022.583 / (1022.583 + 4641.118))
=0.156778 / 0.18055
=0.8683

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1238.635 / 14194.953) / (1171.461 / 12949.828)
=0.087259 / 0.090462
=0.9646

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15950.413 + 21178.405) / 61164.288) / ((14509.511 + 19248.385) / 57064.442)
=0.607034 / 0.591575
=1.0261

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1856.786 - 0 - 3466.466) / 61164.288
=-0.026317

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Water Affairs Group has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Water Affairs Group (HKSE:00855) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
18 Harbour Road, Central Plaza, Suite 6408, 64th Floor, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Water Affairs Group Ltd is a Chinese water utility company that builds, operates, and invests in water affairs projects in China. The firm's primary segments include City water supply operation, main contractor construction, Environmental protection, and Property development and investment, Pipeline direct drinking water supply. It generates a majority of its revenue from the City water supply operation segment. Geographically, the company generates a major share of its revenue from the People's Republic of China.
Executives
Orix Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Duan Chuan Liang 2101 Beneficial owner

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