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Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (HKSE:02314) Beneish M-Score : -2.19 (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02314' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.83
Current: -2.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing was -1.83. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.33.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Beneish M-Score Chart

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -2.40 -2.28 -2.12 -2.19

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 - -2.12 - -2.19

Competitive Comparison of Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2786+0.528 * 0.9199+0.404 * 1.313+0.892 * 0.8549+0.115 * 1.1934
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9906+4.679 * 0.018508-0.327 * 1.0946
=-2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$6,703 Mil.
Revenue was HK$24,937 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,502 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$13,141 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$54,097 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$39,915 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$175 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,713 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11,436 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$12,315 Mil.
Net Income was HK$1,153 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$151 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$6,132 Mil.
Revenue was HK$29,170 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,692 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$12,921 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$50,326 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$36,667 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$192 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$2,023 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$12,293 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7,892 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6702.907 / 24937.083) / (6132.462 / 29170.402)
=0.268793 / 0.210229
=1.2786

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2692.496 / 29170.402) / (2502.174 / 24937.083)
=0.092302 / 0.100339
=0.9199

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13141.193 + 39914.832) / 54097.321) / (1 - (12920.887 + 36667.034) / 50325.685)
=0.019249 / 0.01466
=1.313

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24937.083 / 29170.402
=0.8549

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(191.501 / (191.501 + 36667.034)) / (174.547 / (174.547 + 39914.832))
=0.005196 / 0.004354
=1.1934

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1713.184 / 24937.083) / (2022.992 / 29170.402)
=0.0687 / 0.069351
=0.9906

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12315.498 + 11436.066) / 54097.321) / ((7892.264 + 12292.979) / 50325.685)
=0.439052 / 0.401092
=1.0946

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1152.608 - 0 - 151.372) / 54097.321
=0.018508

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing has a M-score of -2.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (HKSE:02314) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
169 Electric Road, 39/F, Lee & Man Commercial Center, North Point, Hong Kong, HKG
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the manufacturing and trading of paper and pulp. Its segments are Packaging Paper, Pulp, and Tissue paper. The majority of the revenue is generated from the packaging paper segment that covers the production of kraft liner board, test liner board, coated duplex board, white top liner board, and strength corrugating medium. The People's Republic of China accounts for the majority of the revenue.
Executives
Ho Tsz Wan 2202 Interest of your spouse
Lee Man Bun 2101 Beneficial owner
Lee Wan Keung 2101 Beneficial owner
Lee Wong Wai Kuen 2202 Interest of your spouse
Lee Man Chun Raymond

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