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Arcelik AS (IST:ARCLK) Beneish M-Score : -1.23 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Arcelik AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.23 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ARCLK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.34   Max: -0.11
Current: -1.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arcelik AS was -0.11. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.34.


Arcelik AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arcelik AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Arcelik AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.67 -1.41 -0.11 -2.08

Arcelik AS Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.37 -0.93 -0.99 -2.08 -1.23

Competitive Comparison of Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arcelik AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Arcelik AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arcelik AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.919+0.528 * 0.9187+0.404 * 1.1148+0.892 * 0.9715+0.115 * 2.2464
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0418+4.679 * 0.057399-0.327 * 0.9216
=-1.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺74,098 Mil.
Revenue was 72265.241 + 112046.437 + 58217.883 + 46948.042 = ₺289,478 Mil.
Gross Profit was 21446.941 + 28886.659 + 19077.43 + 14997.665 = ₺84,409 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺180,875 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺279,544 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺55,353 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺8,697 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺69,986 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺146,150 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺49,221 Mil.
Net Income was 395.111 + 5100.11 + 1000.911 + 491.857 = ₺6,988 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -4969.39 + -7837.468 + -199.324 + 3948.727 = ₺-9,057 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺39,747 Mil.
Revenue was 68968.892 + 162448.402 + 34254.6 + 32304.633 = ₺297,977 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19841.88 + 40554.284 + 9861.201 + 9568.416 = ₺79,826 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺103,629 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺146,628 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺22,620 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺9,928 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺69,152 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺93,446 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺17,747 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(74097.835 / 289477.603) / (39746.73 / 297976.527)
=0.255971 / 0.133389
=1.919

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(79825.781 / 297976.527) / (84408.695 / 289477.603)
=0.267893 / 0.29159
=0.9187

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (180875.304 + 55353.006) / 279544.217) / (1 - (103628.628 + 22619.718) / 146628.119)
=0.154952 / 0.13899
=1.1148

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=289477.603 / 297976.527
=0.9715

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9927.706 / (9927.706 + 22619.718)) / (8697.026 / (8697.026 + 55353.006))
=0.305023 / 0.135785
=2.2464

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(69985.508 / 289477.603) / (69151.819 / 297976.527)
=0.241765 / 0.232071
=1.0418

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((49220.623 + 146149.888) / 279544.217) / ((17746.707 + 93446.406) / 146628.119)
=0.698889 / 0.758334
=0.9216

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6987.989 - 0 - -9057.455) / 279544.217
=0.057399

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arcelik AS has a M-score of -1.23 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Arcelik AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arcelik AS (IST:ARCLK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Karaagac Caddesi No 2-6, Sutluce, Istanbul, TUR, 34445
Arcelik AS is a Turkey-based company that is principally engaged in manufacturing household appliances. Its products consist of consumer durable goods, consumer electronics, kitchen accessories, and small home appliances. It provides after-sale services as well. The company generates most of its revenue from white products. The company has factories in a number of countries, such as Turkey, Romania, Russia, China, South Africa, and Thailand. It has a worldwide business presence, including Turkey, Europe, Africa, and the Middle East, with Turkey and Western Europe as the largest markets.

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