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Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ORCAY) Beneish M-Score : -2.14 (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.14 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ORCAY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.14   Med: -0.04   Max: 140.63
Current: -2.14

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS was 140.63. The lowest was -2.14. And the median was -0.04.


Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
- - - 140.63 0.53

Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.27 0.53 -0.39 -0.04 -2.14

Competitive Comparison of Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8954+0.528 * 0.6337+0.404 * 0.4857+0.892 * 1.5631+0.115 * 1.9024
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7663+4.679 * 0.035303-0.327 * 0.9221
=-2.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺209.1 Mil.
Revenue was 175.763 + 170.14 + 55.657 + 109.926 = ₺511.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 49.723 + 56.087 + 17.978 + 34.489 = ₺158.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺463.1 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺670.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺207.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺5.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺9.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺305.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺96.6 Mil.
Net Income was 12.402 + 31.618 + 6.165 + 16.398 = ₺66.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -49.381 + -3.329 + 56.239 + 39.386 = ₺42.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺149.4 Mil.
Revenue was 134.191 + 82.775 + 34.945 + 75.305 = ₺327.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 34.23 + 19.962 + 2.693 + 7.279 = ₺64.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺380.3 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺429.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺48.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺2.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺7.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺267.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺12.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(209.147 / 511.486) / (149.428 / 327.216)
=0.408901 / 0.456665
=0.8954

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(64.164 / 327.216) / (158.277 / 511.486)
=0.196091 / 0.309445
=0.6337

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (463.102 + 207.282) / 670.418) / (1 - (380.259 + 48.845) / 429.149)
=5.1E-5 / 0.000105
=0.4857

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=511.486 / 327.216
=1.5631

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2.7 / (2.7 + 48.845)) / (5.869 / (5.869 + 207.282))
=0.052381 / 0.027534
=1.9024

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9.46 / 511.486) / (7.898 / 327.216)
=0.018495 / 0.024137
=0.7663

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((96.558 + 305.722) / 670.418) / ((11.964 + 267.288) / 429.149)
=0.600044 / 0.650711
=0.9221

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(66.583 - 0 - 42.915) / 670.418
=0.035303

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS has a M-score of -2.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ORCAY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ortakoy Koyu No:85, Guneysu, Rize, TUR, 53390
Orcay Ortakoy Cay Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is a tea production company. Its products include packaged teas and gift teas.

Orcay Ortakoy Caynayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ORCAY) Headlines

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