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Momentum Metropolitan Holdings (JSE:MTM) Beneish M-Score : -2.08 (As of Jun. 16, 2024)


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What is Momentum Metropolitan Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Momentum Metropolitan Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:MTM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.37   Med: -2.07   Max: -1.23
Current: -2.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Momentum Metropolitan Holdings was -1.23. The lowest was -2.37. And the median was -2.07.


Momentum Metropolitan Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Momentum Metropolitan Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.562+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0006+0.892 * 1.7852+0.115 * 1.02
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6748+4.679 * -0.011071-0.327 * 0.6934
=-2.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R13,097 Mil.
Revenue was R124,222 Mil.
Gross Profit was R124,222 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R0 Mil.
Total Assets was R636,799 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3,527 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R895 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1,908 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R6,147 Mil.
Net Income was R4,333 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,389 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R9,994 Mil.
Total Receivables was R13,055 Mil.
Revenue was R69,586 Mil.
Gross Profit was R69,586 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R0 Mil.
Total Assets was R573,849 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3,494 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R909 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1,584 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R7,989 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13097 / 124222) / (13055 / 69586)
=0.105432 / 0.18761
=0.562

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(69586 / 69586) / (124222 / 124222)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 3527) / 636799) / (1 - (0 + 3494) / 573849)
=0.994461 / 0.993911
=1.0006

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=124222 / 69586
=1.7852

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(909 / (909 + 3494)) / (895 / (895 + 3527))
=0.20645 / 0.202397
=1.02

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1908 / 124222) / (1584 / 69586)
=0.01536 / 0.022763
=0.6748

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6147 + 0) / 636799) / ((7989 + 0) / 573849)
=0.009653 / 0.013922
=0.6934

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4333 - 1389 - 9994) / 636799
=-0.011071

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Momentum Metropolitan Holdings has a M-score of -2.08 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Momentum Metropolitan Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Momentum Metropolitan Holdings (JSE:MTM) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
268 West Avenue, Centurion, GT, ZAF, 0157
Momentum Metropolitan Holdings Ltd is a financial services group. Its core businesses are long- and short-term insurance, asset management, investment, savings, healthcare administration, and employee benefits. Metropolitan and Momentum are the operating brands for offering product and service solutions to all market segments. The firm's operational segments are: Momentum Life, Momentum Investments, Metropolitan Life, Momentum Corporate, Momentum Metropolitan Health, Momentum Metropolitan Africa, Non-life Insurance, New Initiatives and Shareholders.