Lotte Chemical Pakistan (KAR:LOTCHEM) Beneish M-Score: -2.51 (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


KAR:LOTCHEM Lotte Chemical Pakistan Ltd KAR:LOTCHEM
71 GF Score
Price ₨28.19
GF Value ₨18.71
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Lotte Chemical Pakistan Beneish M-Score?

Lotte Chemical Pakistan KAR:LOTCHEM +0.43% 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:LOTCHEM with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨18.71 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,527 Chemicals companies, Lotte Chemical Pakistan ranks better than 50.1% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:LOTCHEM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6   Med: -2.48   Max: -0.35
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lotte Chemical Pakistan was -0.35. The lowest was -6.00. And the median was -2.48.


Lotte Chemical Pakistan Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lotte Chemical Pakistan Beneish M-Score Chart

Lotte Chemical Pakistan Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -1.34 -0.94 -3.06 -1.29

Lotte Chemical Pakistan Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.02 -3.07 -1.78 -1.29 -2.51

KAR:LOTCHEM vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lotte Chemical Pakistan Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:LOTCHEM
71GF Score
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Ltd KAR:LOTCHEM
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lotte Chemical Pakistan Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lotte Chemical Pakistan for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0005+0.528 * 0.8431+0.404 * 1.3844+0.892 * 0.8146+0.115 * 0.7852
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2038+4.679 * 0.047143-0.327 * 1.2997
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨4,871 Mil.
Revenue was 20859.834 + 20365.801 + 20365.18 + 18670.744 = ₨80,262 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2927.843 + 727.843 + 570.372 + 445.282 = ₨4,671 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨28,423 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨37,537 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨5,698 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,568 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨376 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨16,058 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨3,834 Mil.
Net Income was 1474.37 + 283.064 + 94.089 + 79.878 = ₨1,931 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -2684.92 + 5116.752 + -2687.152 + 417.13 = ₨162 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨5,977 Mil.
Revenue was 21505.196 + 20322.441 + 24597.854 + 32101.958 = ₨98,527 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1332.234 + 157.148 + 1045.025 + 2300.343 = ₨4,835 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨30,504 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨39,322 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨6,233 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,271 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨383 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨15,871 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨162 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4871.481 / 80261.559) / (5976.983 / 98527.449)
=0.060695 / 0.060663
=1.0005

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4834.75 / 98527.449) / (4671.34 / 80261.559)
=0.04907 / 0.058201
=0.8431

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (28422.856 + 5698.061) / 37536.88) / (1 - (30503.928 + 6232.998) / 39321.794)
=0.091003 / 0.065736
=1.3844

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=80261.559 / 98527.449
=0.8146

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1271.363 / (1271.363 + 6232.998)) / (1567.607 / (1567.607 + 5698.061))
=0.169417 / 0.215755
=0.7852

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(376.052 / 80261.559) / (383.497 / 98527.449)
=0.004685 / 0.003892
=1.2038

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3833.528 + 16058.47) / 37536.88) / ((161.926 + 15871.395) / 39321.794)
=0.529932 / 0.407746
=1.2997

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1931.401 - 0 - 161.81) / 37536.88
=0.047143

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lotte Chemical Pakistan has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 mean?
Lotte Chemical Pakistan (KAR:LOTCHEM) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lotte Chemical Pakistan and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lotte Chemical Pakistan ranks #762 out of 1527 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 49.9%.
Is Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score too high?
Lotte Chemical Pakistan's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Based on the distribution chart, Lotte Chemical Pakistan ranks #762 out of 1527 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Lotte Chemical Pakistan has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lotte Chemical Pakistan's Beneish M-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Lotte Chemical Pakistan ranks #762 out of 1527 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Lotte Chemical Pakistan in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lotte Chemical Pakistan and its competitors. Lotte Chemical Pakistan's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lotte Chemical Pakistan stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lotte Chemical Pakistan (KAR:LOTCHEM) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨18.71, compared to a current price of ₨28.19 — trading 50.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Lotte Chemical Pakistan's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lotte Chemical Pakistan (KAR:LOTCHEM), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lotte Chemical Pakistan (KAR:LOTCHEM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lotte Chemical Pakistan stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨28.19 is trading 50.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨18.71. GuruFocus considers Lotte Chemical Pakistan to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:LOTCHEM:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.51
  • GF Value™: ₨18.71 vs. price of ₨28.19 (50.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:LOTCHEM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lotte Chemical Pakistan Business Description

Address EZ/1/P-4, Eastern Industrial Zone, Port Qasim Authority, Bin Qasim, Karachi, SD, PAK, 75020
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Ltd is engaged in the manufacture and sale of Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA). PTA is a key raw material used in the production of polyester fiber, polyester filament yarn, polyester film, and polyethylene terephthalate (PET).
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:LOTCHEM

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨28.19
Price
₨18.71
GF Value