Pacifico Compania de Seguros y Reaseguros Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Pacifico Compania de Seguros y Reaseguros for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.043 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0011 | + | 0.892 * 1.002 | + | 0.115 * 0.9528 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.0576 | + | 4.679 * -0.06746 | - | 0.327 * 1.7473 |
| = | -3.01 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec20) TTM: | Last Year (Dec19) TTM: |
Total Receivables was S/.1,364 Mil.
Revenue was S/.3,304 Mil.
Gross Profit was S/.3,304 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S/.0 Mil.
Total Assets was S/.14,706 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S/.71 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S/.63 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S/.191 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S/.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S/.398 Mil.
Net Income was S/.259 Mil.
Gross Profit was S/.84 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was S/.1,167 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was S/.1,306 Mil.
Revenue was S/.3,298 Mil.
Gross Profit was S/.3,298 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S/.0 Mil.
Total Assets was S/.12,828 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S/.76 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S/.62 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S/.181 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S/.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S/.199 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (1364.376 / 3304.494) | / | (1305.511 / 3297.886) |
| = | 0.412885 | / | 0.395863 |
| | = | 1.043 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (3297.886 / 3297.886) | / | (3304.494 / 3304.494) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 70.584) / 14705.776) | / | (1 - (0 + 75.822) / 12827.821) |
| = | 0.9952 | / | 0.994089 |
| | = | 1.0011 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 3304.494 | / | 3297.886 |
| | = | 1.002 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (61.962 / (61.962 + 75.822)) | / | (63.093 / (63.093 + 70.584)) |
| = | 0.449704 | / | 0.471981 |
| | = | 0.9528 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (191.318 / 3304.494) | / | (180.543 / 3297.886) |
| = | 0.057896 | / | 0.054745 |
| | = | 1.0576 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((398.31 + 0) / 14705.776) | / | ((198.84 + 0) / 12827.821) |
| = | 0.027085 | / | 0.015501 |
| | = | 1.7473 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (259.098 - 84.069 | - | 1167.078) | / | 14705.776 |
| | = | -0.06746 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Pacifico Compania de Seguros y Reaseguros has a M-score of -3.01 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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