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UBM (LSE:UBMN) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is UBM Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for UBM's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of UBM was 0.00. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.55.


UBM Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for UBM's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

UBM Beneish M-Score Chart

UBM Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Beneish M-Score
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UBM Semi-Annual Data
Jun09 Dec09 Jun10 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17
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Competitive Comparison of UBM's Beneish M-Score

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, UBM's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UBM's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, UBM's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UBM's Beneish M-Score falls into.



UBM Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of UBM for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8107+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9977+0.892 * 1.1621+0.115 * 0.9021
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.028793-0.327 * 0.9485
=-2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec17) TTM:Last Year (Dec16) TTM:
Total Receivables was £143 Mil.
Revenue was £1,003 Mil.
Gross Profit was £1,003 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £294 Mil.
Total Assets was £2,452 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £40 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £82 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £552 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £588 Mil.
Net Income was £146 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £217 Mil.
Total Receivables was £152 Mil.
Revenue was £863 Mil.
Gross Profit was £863 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £314 Mil.
Total Assets was £2,639 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £41 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £63 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £608 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £687 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(143.2 / 1002.9) / (152 / 863)
=0.142786 / 0.17613
=0.8107

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(863 / 863) / (1002.9 / 1002.9)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (294.4 + 39.9) / 2452) / (1 - (313.9 + 40.6) / 2639)
=0.863662 / 0.865669
=0.9977

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1002.9 / 863
=1.1621

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(62.6 / (62.6 + 40.6)) / (81.9 / (81.9 + 39.9))
=0.606589 / 0.672414
=0.9021

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1002.9) / (0 / 863)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((588.3 + 552.4) / 2452) / ((686.5 + 607.8) / 2639)
=0.465212 / 0.490451
=0.9485

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(146 - 0 - 216.6) / 2452
=-0.028793

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

UBM has a M-score of -2.64 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


UBM (LSE:UBMN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
UBM PLC is a United Kingdom-based global business-to-business organizer. In addition to focusing on business-to-business events, the company operates live media, communication, and marketing services. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from it organization of business events such as tradeshows, making it one of the leading event and exhibition organizers in the world. Its events are mostly focused in North America, emerging markets countries such as China and India, and the U.K. The company's revenue is fairly evenly split across these regions. UBM's clients mainly operate in the industrial, transportation, fashion, and healthcare industries.

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