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The Michaels (The Michaels) Beneish M-Score : -4.02 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is The Michaels Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.02 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Michaels's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.02   Med: -2.74   Max: -1.12
Current: -4.02

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Michaels was -1.12. The lowest was -4.02. And the median was -2.74.


The Michaels Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Michaels's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Michaels Beneish M-Score Chart

The Michaels Annual Data
Trend Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.44 -2.74 -1.12 -2.89 -4.02

The Michaels Quarterly Data
Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.89 -2.51 -3.44 -4.02

Competitive Comparison of The Michaels's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, The Michaels's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Michaels's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Michaels's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Michaels's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Michaels Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Michaels for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4437+0.528 * 0.9947+0.404 * 0.8096+0.892 * 1.0392+0.115 * 0.9771
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0259+4.679 * -0.193925-0.327 * 0.9089
=-3.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan21) TTM:Last Year (Jan20) TTM:
Total Receivables was $14 Mil.
Revenue was 1916.842 + 1406.212 + 1148.17 + 799.888 = $5,271 Mil.
Gross Profit was 810.027 + 581.716 + 342.512 + 221.822 = $1,956 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,272 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,528 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,067 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $130 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,391 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,716 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,859 Mil.
Net Income was 255.075 + 111.122 + -7.757 + -63.505 = $295 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -19.323 + -31.563 + -1.365 + 2.922 = $-49 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 509.576 + 413.111 + 355.276 + -55.527 = $1,222 Mil.
Total Receivables was $30 Mil.
Revenue was 1722.607 + 1222.021 + 1033.689 + 1093.72 = $5,072 Mil.
Gross Profit was 645.998 + 441.634 + 366.986 + 417.64 = $1,872 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,600 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,838 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,040 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $125 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,304 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,196 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,002 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14.039 / 5271.112) / (30.442 / 5072.037)
=0.002663 / 0.006002
=0.4437

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1872.258 / 5072.037) / (1956.077 / 5271.112)
=0.369133 / 0.371094
=0.9947

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2272.293 + 2067.117) / 4528.405) / (1 - (1599.802 + 2040.445) / 3838.095)
=0.041735 / 0.051548
=0.8096

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5271.112 / 5072.037
=1.0392

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(125.499 / (125.499 + 2040.445)) / (130.303 / (130.303 + 2067.117))
=0.057942 / 0.059298
=0.9771

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1390.62 / 5271.112) / (1304.28 / 5072.037)
=0.263819 / 0.257151
=1.0259

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3859.347 + 1715.699) / 4528.405) / ((4002.281 + 1196.366) / 3838.095)
=1.231128 / 1.354486
=0.9089

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(294.935 - -49.329 - 1222.436) / 4528.405
=-0.193925

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Michaels has a M-score of -3.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Michaels Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Michaels (The Michaels) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3939 West John Carpenter Freeway, Irving, TX, USA, 75063
The Michaels Companies Inc is an arts and crafts specialty retailer in North America. The company provides materials, project ideas, and education for creative activities like crafting classes, store events, store displays, mobile applications, and online videos. Michaels' revenue segments are general crafts, home decor and seasonal, Custom and ready-made framing, and paper crafting. Aaron Brothers offer unique framing assortments. The company operates its own distribution network through a wholly-owned subsidiary to supply merchandise in the stores.
Executives
Jim Sullivan officer: SVP - CAO & Controller 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE IRVING TX 75063
Blackstone Holdings Iii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Family Investment Partnership V L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Participation Partnership V L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bcp V-s L P 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bcp V Side-by-side Gp L.l.c. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Family Gp Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Group Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Inc. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Management Associates V L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bma V L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Capital Partners V L P 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bcp V Co-investors L.p. 10 percent owner CO/ THE BLACKSTONE GROUP L.P., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154