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Origen Financial (Origen Financial) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Origen Financial Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origen Financial's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Origen Financial was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.


Origen Financial Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Origen Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9996+0.892 * 0.3085+0.115 * 0.4347
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.8025+4.679 * -0.212529-0.327 * 0.9978
=-4.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec08) TTM:Last Year (Dec07) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 10.452 + 10.24 + 5.391 + -9.298 = $16.79 Mil.
Gross Profit was 10.452 + 10.24 + 5.391 + -9.298 = $16.79 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14.12 Mil.
Total Assets was $965.53 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.40 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $5.76 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $21.14 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $29.35 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $775.12 Mil.
Net Income was -4.425 + -1.173 + -4.774 + -24.992 = $-35.36 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0.746 + 0.529 + 9.817 + 158.748 = $169.84 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 14.055 + 13.66 + 13.897 + 12.797 = $54.41 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14.055 + 13.66 + 13.897 + 12.797 = $54.41 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $10.79 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,284.20 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7.96 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $5.45 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $24.45 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $173.07 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $899.24 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 16.785) / (0 / 54.409)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(54.409 / 54.409) / (16.785 / 16.785)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14.118 + 0.401) / 965.533) / (1 - (10.791 + 7.955) / 1284.201)
=0.984963 / 0.985403
=0.9996

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16.785 / 54.409
=0.3085

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5.445 / (5.445 + 7.955)) / (5.755 / (5.755 + 0.401))
=0.406343 / 0.93486
=0.4347

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(21.138 / 16.785) / (24.449 / 54.409)
=1.259339 / 0.449356
=2.8025

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((775.12 + 29.351) / 965.533) / ((899.243 + 173.072) / 1284.201)
=0.833189 / 0.835006
=0.9978

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-35.364 - 0 - 169.84) / 965.533
=-0.212529

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Origen Financial has a M-score of -4.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Origen Financial Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Origen Financial (Origen Financial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
27777 Franklin Road, Suite 1700, Southfield, MI, USA, 48034
Origen Financial Inc is an internally-managed and internally-advised Delaware corporation that is taxed as a real estate investment trust. It is a national consumer manufactured housing lender and servicer.