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Alternus Energy Group (OSL:ALT) Beneish M-Score : -158.77 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Alternus Energy Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -158.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSL:ALT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -158.77   Med: 0.2   Max: 4.83
Current: -158.77

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alternus Energy Group was 4.83. The lowest was -158.77. And the median was 0.20.


Alternus Energy Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alternus Energy Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Alternus Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
- - - 3.34 -1.74

Alternus Energy Group Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.30 0.20 -1.74 -2.46 -158.77

Competitive Comparison of Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alternus Energy Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alternus Energy Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alternus Energy Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5901+0.528 * 0.9045+0.404 * -383.5404+0.892 * 0.8689+0.115 * 1.718
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.784+4.679 * -0.07891-0.327 * 1.4332
=-158.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr112.4 Mil.
Revenue was 112.373 + 0 + -11.016 + 127.411 = kr228.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 89.24 + 0 + 0.287 + 80.08 = kr169.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr248.1 Mil.
Total Assets was kr2,270.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr1,850.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr45.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr16.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr2,541.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr216.5 Mil.
Net Income was -170.877 + 0 + -96.993 + -4.439 = kr-272.3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + -109.511 + 16.374 = kr-93.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr219.2 Mil.
Revenue was 108.054 + 34.7 + 49.118 + 71.405 = kr263.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 85.644 + 13.242 + 21.546 + 56.123 = kr176.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr491.9 Mil.
Total Assets was kr2,406.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr1,914.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr83.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr23.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr284.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr1,755.2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(112.395 / 228.768) / (219.189 / 263.277)
=0.491306 / 0.832541
=0.5901

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(176.555 / 263.277) / (169.607 / 228.768)
=0.670605 / 0.741393
=0.9045

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (248.062 + 1850.097) / 2270.591) / (1 - (491.932 + 1914.916) / 2406.371)
=0.075941 / -0.000198
=-383.5404

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=228.768 / 263.277
=0.8689

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(83.162 / (83.162 + 1914.916)) / (45.934 / (45.934 + 1850.097))
=0.041621 / 0.024226
=1.718

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16.161 / 228.768) / (23.723 / 263.277)
=0.070644 / 0.090107
=0.784

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((216.489 + 2541.872) / 2270.591) / ((1755.238 + 284.499) / 2406.371)
=1.214821 / 0.84764
=1.4332

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-272.309 - 0 - -93.137) / 2270.591
=-0.07891

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alternus Energy Group has a M-score of -158.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alternus Energy Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alternus Energy Group (OSL:ALT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Blanchardstown Corporate Park 2, Suite 9-10 Plaza 212, Dublin, IRL, D15 R504
Alternus Energy Group PLC is an independent power producer of green energy. It develops, owns, and operates Utility-Scale Solar projects across Europe. The company's solar PV parks produce clean green energy and replace polluting greenhouse gas-emitting and fossil fuel-based energy. Its current portfolio consists of renewable energy facilities that are generally contracted under long-term Country Renewable Programs (FIT programs) or Energy Offtake Agreements (PPAs/VPPAs) with creditworthy counterparties.