Cebu Air (PHS:CEBCP.PFD) Beneish M-Score : -2.87 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)

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What is Cebu Air Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:CEBCP.PFD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -50.67 Med: -2.76 Max: 3.86
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cebu Air was 3.86. The lowest was -50.67. And the median was -2.76.

Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Chart

Cebu Air Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Beneish M-Score

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-3.32

-2.42

-3.48

3.86

-3.34

Cebu Air Quarterly Data
	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24	Jun24	Sep24
Beneish M-Score	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-3.62	-3.34	-3.18	-2.74	-2.87

Competitive Comparison of Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score falls into.

Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cebu Air for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

-4.84

0.92 * DSRI

0.528 * GMI

0.404 * AQI

0.892 * SGI

0.115 * DEPI

-4.84

0.92 * 0.836

0.528 * 0.8975

0.404 * 1.012

0.892 * 1.1408

0.115 * 0.9383

0.172 * SGAI

4.679 * TATA

0.327 * LVGI

0.172 * 1.0336

4.679 * -0.064506

0.327 * 1.0073

-2.87

This Year (Sep24) TTM:

Last Year (Sep23) TTM:

Total Receivables was ₱2,941.96 Mil.
Revenue was 23092.42 + 26136.391 + 25302.932 + 23706.417 = ₱98,238.16 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2192.252 + 4922.191 + 4301.569 + 4325.125 = ₱15,741.14 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱30,526.91 Mil.
Total Assets was ₱214,060.34 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₱169,906.91 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₱16,084.60 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₱7,624.38 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱61,418.20 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₱139,011.66 Mil.
Net Income was -173.187 + 1305.508 + 2239.854 + 2897.151 = ₱6,269.33 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₱0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5865.184 + 6607.496 + 1678.756 + 5926.166 = ₱20,077.60 Mil.

Total Receivables was ₱3,084.66 Mil.
Revenue was 23344.788 + 22673.91 + 20877.443 + 19217.999 = ₱86,114.14 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4181.512 + 4398.979 + 2718.251 + 1085.089 = ₱12,383.83 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱30,218.27 Mil.
Total Assets was ₱172,503.52 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₱131,434.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₱11,606.49 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₱6,466.17 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱48,838.96 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₱111,507.07 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI	=	(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)	/	(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
	=	(2941.955 / 98238.16)	/	(3084.66 / 86114.14)
	=	0.029947	/	0.035821
	=	0.836

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI	=	GrossMargin_t-1	/	GrossMargin_t
	=	(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)	/	(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
	=	(12383.831 / 86114.14)	/	(15741.137 / 98238.16)
	=	0.143807	/	0.160234
	=	0.8975

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI	=	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	(1 - (30526.914 + 169906.91) / 214060.337)	/	(1 - (30218.265 + 131433.997) / 172503.52)
	=	0.063657	/	0.062905
	=	1.012

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI	=	Sales_t	/	Sales_t-1
	=	Revenue_t	/	Revenue_t-1
	=	98238.16	/	86114.14
	=	1.1408

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI	=	(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))	/	(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
	=	(11606.488 / (11606.488 + 131433.997))	/	(16084.603 / (16084.603 + 169906.91))
	=	0.081141	/	0.08648
	=	0.9383

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI	=	(SGA_t / Sales_t)	/	(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
	=	(7624.382 / 98238.16)	/	(6466.172 / 86114.14)
	=	0.077611	/	0.075088
	=	1.0336

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI	=	((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	((139011.661 + 61418.199) / 214060.337)	/	((111507.071 + 48838.964) / 172503.52)
	=	0.936324	/	0.929523
	=	1.0073

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA	=	(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(6269.326 - 0	-	20077.602)	/	214060.337
	=	-0.064506

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cebu Air has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cebu Air Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Cebu Air Inc (PHS:CEBCP.PFD) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

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CEBUY:USA CEB:Philippines

Address

Sergio Osmena Boulevard, Basement 2, R 01-02, Robinsons Galleria Cebu, Barangay Tejero, General Maxilom Avenue corner, Cebu, CEB, PHL, 6000

Website

https://www.cebupacificair.com

Cebu Air Inc is a carrier in the Philippine air transportation industry. It has two reportable operating segments, which are the airline business (Parent Company and CEBGO) and the line and light maintenance business (A-Plus). The revenue of the operating segments was mainly derived from rendering transportation services and line and light maintenance services. The Airline Group has a network of distributors in the Philippines selling its domestic and international air services within an agreed territory or geographical coverage. Geographically, it operates in the Philippines, Asia (excluding the Philippines), Europe, and other regions, out of which the majority of the revenue is generated from the Philippines.

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