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Spirit AeroSystems Holdings (Spirit AeroSystems Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.98 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SPR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.68   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.24
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Spirit AeroSystems Holdings was -1.24. The lowest was -4.68. And the median was -2.61.


Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.63 -1.24 -4.68 -2.98

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.68 -4.63 -14.74 -3.76 -2.98

Competitive Comparison of Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spirit AeroSystems Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Spirit AeroSystems Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9314+0.528 * 0.2834+0.404 * 0.8117+0.892 * 1.2025+0.115 * 1.0092
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8397+4.679 * -0.038503-0.327 * 1.0327
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,114 Mil.
Revenue was 1812.9 + 1438.9 + 1364.7 + 1431.4 = $6,048 Mil.
Gross Profit was 291.4 + -53.6 + -30.8 + -0.8 = $206 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,752 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,950 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,176 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $316 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $282 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,198 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,103 Mil.
Net Income was 75.4 + -204.1 + -206.3 + -281.2 = $-616 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -23.5 + 4.9 + -13.5 + -90.7 = $-123 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 113.7 + -110.5 + -182.8 + -46.2 = $-226 Mil.
Total Receivables was $994 Mil.
Revenue was 1320.1 + 1276.9 + 1257.9 + 1174.7 = $5,030 Mil.
Gross Profit was -49.5 + 82.9 + -19.6 + 34.8 = $49 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,158 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,666 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,300 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $337 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $279 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,953 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,900 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1113.7 / 6047.9) / (994.4 / 5029.6)
=0.184147 / 0.19771
=0.9314

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48.6 / 5029.6) / (206.2 / 6047.9)
=0.009663 / 0.034094
=0.2834

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3751.8 + 2176.3) / 6950.1) / (1 - (3158.3 + 2300.2) / 6666.2)
=0.147048 / 0.181168
=0.8117

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6047.9 / 5029.6
=1.2025

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(337.1 / (337.1 + 2300.2)) / (315.6 / (315.6 + 2176.3))
=0.12782 / 0.12665
=1.0092

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(281.9 / 6047.9) / (279.2 / 5029.6)
=0.046611 / 0.055511
=0.8397

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4103 + 2198.3) / 6950.1) / ((3900.3 + 1952.5) / 6666.2)
=0.906649 / 0.877981
=1.0327

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-616.2 - -122.8 - -225.8) / 6950.1
=-0.038503

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Spirit AeroSystems Holdings (Spirit AeroSystems Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3801 South Oliver Street, Wichita, KS, USA, 67210
Spirit AeroSystems manufactures aerostructures, particularly fuselages, cockpits, wing sections, engine pylons, and nacelles for commercial and military aircraft. The company was spun out of Boeing in 2005, and the firm is the largest independent supplier of aerostructures for commercial aircraft. Boeing and Airbus are the firm's primary customers—Boeing represented roughly 60% and Airbus roughly 20% of revenue in recent years. The company is highly exposed to Boeing's 737 program, which accounts for nearly half the company's revenue.
Executives
Alan W Young officer: SVP Fab & Procurement Officer 3801 S. OLIVER, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Sean Black officer: SVP, Engineering 3801 S OLIVER ST, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Mindy Mcpheeters officer: SVP, GC/Corp Sec 3801 S OLIVER ST, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Justin Welner officer: SVP, CAO & CCO 3801 S OLIVER ST, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Mark Miklos officer: SVP, Defense & Space 3801 S. OLIVER, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Kailash Krishnaswamy officer: SVP, Aftermarket 3801 S OLIVER ST, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Robert D Johnson director HONEYWELL, 1944 E SKY HARBOR CIRCLE, PHOENIX AZ 85034
Ray James R Jr director COMMERCIAL VEHICLE GROUP, INC., 7800 WALTON PARKWAY, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Fitzgerald William Augustus Iii director 3801 S OLIVER, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Patrick M Shanahan director C/O RESILIENCE CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC, 25101 CHAGRIN BLVD 350, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Terry J George officer: SVP, Boeing 737 Program 3801 S OLIVER ST, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Damon Christopher Ward officer: Interim Corporate Controller 3801 S OLIVER ST, MAIL CODE K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Stephen Anthony Cambone director 3801 S OLIVER ST, MC K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Mcmullen Victor Rodney Jr officer: SVP, Wichita & Oklahoma Ops 3801 S OLIVER ST, MAIL CODE K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210
Scott Mclarty officer: SVP, Airbus Programs 3801 S OLIVER ST, MAIL CODE K11-60, WICHITA KS 67210