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Allegro.EU (STU:AL0) Beneish M-Score : -3.16 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Allegro.EU Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:AL0' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -2.89   Max: -1.98
Current: -3.16

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Allegro.EU was -1.98. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -2.89.


Allegro.EU Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Allegro.EU Beneish M-Score Chart

Allegro.EU Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -1.98 -2.89 -3.16

Allegro.EU Quarterly Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.70 -3.27 -2.62 -3.16

Competitive Comparison of Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Allegro.EU's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Allegro.EU Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Allegro.EU for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7955+0.528 * 0.9489+0.404 * 0.9369+0.892 * 1.1311+0.115 * 1.221
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1215+4.679 * -0.121737-0.327 * 0.9777
=-3.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €335 Mil.
Revenue was 708.06 + 567.369 + 559.414 + 541.518 = €2,376 Mil.
Gross Profit was 536.218 + 458.295 + 436.775 + 403.303 = €1,835 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €937 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,325 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €254 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €379 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €287 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €529 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,526 Mil.
Net Income was -54.512 + 56.392 + 27.753 + 36.63 = €66 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 209.084 + 190.056 + 133.599 + 60.078 = €593 Mil.
Total Receivables was €372 Mil.
Revenue was 719.282 + 541.144 + 515.633 + 324.934 = €2,101 Mil.
Gross Profit was 477.19 + 381.699 + 375.027 + 305.266 = €1,539 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €742 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,481 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €273 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €743 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €227 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €540 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,638 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(334.677 / 2376.361) / (371.953 / 2100.993)
=0.140836 / 0.177037
=0.7955

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1539.182 / 2100.993) / (1834.591 / 2376.361)
=0.732597 / 0.772017
=0.9489

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (936.507 + 253.647) / 4325.328) / (1 - (741.673 + 272.713) / 4480.946)
=0.724841 / 0.773622
=0.9369

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2376.361 / 2100.993
=1.1311

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(742.568 / (742.568 + 272.713)) / (378.891 / (378.891 + 253.647))
=0.731392 / 0.599001
=1.221

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(287.397 / 2376.361) / (226.573 / 2100.993)
=0.12094 / 0.107841
=1.1215

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1525.694 + 529.173) / 4325.328) / ((1637.739 + 539.558) / 4480.946)
=0.475078 / 0.485901
=0.9777

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(66.263 - 0 - 592.817) / 4325.328
=-0.121737

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Allegro.EU has a M-score of -3.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Allegro.EU Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Allegro.EU (STU:AL0) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1, Rue Hildegard von Bingen, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1282
Allegro is a large Polish holding company with a suite of complementary online retail properties including Ceneo (price comparisons), EBilet (live events tickets), WeDo (courier services), and the Mall Group (online and offline retail in adjacent central European markets). The firm is best known for its eponymous e-commerce marketplace, which generates predominantly third-party product sales across the home and garden, electronics, health and beauty, automotive, and supermarket categories. The operator boasts nearly 50% share of the Polish e-commerce market by GMV, per our calculations and PWC data, and has built out a suite of ecosystem functionality that includes financial services, logistics, and advertising products.

Allegro.EU (STU:AL0) Headlines

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