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Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co (SZSE:002101) Beneish M-Score : -2.63 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002101' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.45   Med: -2.46   Max: -1.09
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co was -1.09. The lowest was -3.45. And the median was -2.46.


Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.08 -2.89 -2.64 -2.64 -2.44

Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.44 -2.26 -2.37 -2.63

Competitive Comparison of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9734+0.528 * 1.2055+0.404 * 0.9105+0.892 * 1.1237+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8962+4.679 * -0.059778-0.327 * 1.1381
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,899 Mil.
Revenue was 1960.96 + 1888.459 + 1754.959 + 2376.299 = ¥7,981 Mil.
Gross Profit was 317.621 + 294.208 + 263.757 + 444.582 = ¥1,320 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥7,312 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥13,567 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,959 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥310 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥4,766 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥638 Mil.
Net Income was 93.939 + 106.7 + 66.399 + 114.048 = ¥381 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 563.545 + 241.011 + -514.966 + 902.5 = ¥1,192 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,650 Mil.
Revenue was 1969.975 + 1659.297 + 1608.931 + 1863.748 = ¥7,102 Mil.
Gross Profit was 400.574 + 303.618 + 297.411 + 414.634 = ¥1,416 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥6,630 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥12,128 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,244 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥308 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥3,694 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥551 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2898.755 / 7980.677) / (2649.971 / 7101.951)
=0.363222 / 0.373133
=0.9734

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1416.237 / 7101.951) / (1320.168 / 7980.677)
=0.199415 / 0.165421
=1.2055

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7312.351 + 3958.935) / 13566.978) / (1 - (6629.719 + 3244.386) / 12128.048)
=0.169212 / 0.185845
=0.9105

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7980.677 / 7101.951
=1.1237

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 3244.386)) / (0 / (0 + 3958.935))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(310.263 / 7980.677) / (308.091 / 7101.951)
=0.038877 / 0.043381
=0.8962

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((638.392 + 4765.99) / 13566.978) / ((550.901 + 3693.961) / 12128.048)
=0.398348 / 0.350004
=1.1381

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(381.086 - 0 - 1192.09) / 13566.978
=-0.059778

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 168 Century Avenue, Jindu, Gaoyao, Guangdong, CHN, 526108
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is a manufacturer of precision aluminum alloy die castings in southern China. Its products include Automotive parts, Telecommunication parts, and Mechanical parts. Its aluminum alloy die casting parts are mainly applied for automobiles, motorcycles, household appliances, electronic devices, communication equipment and machinery.
Executives
Xu Fei Yue Directors, executives
Liu Gang Nian Executives
Mo Jin Gang Directors, executives
Mo Jian Zhong Executives
Liao Jian Director
Wang Tao Director
Huang Jie Feng Executives
Chen De Fu Director
Zhang Min Director

Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Headlines

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