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Hefei Urban Construction Development Co (SZSE:002208) Beneish M-Score : -1.58 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.58 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002208' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.89   Med: -1.1   Max: 27.16
Current: -1.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hefei Urban Construction Development Co was 27.16. The lowest was -3.89. And the median was -1.10.


Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.79 -2.01 -0.18 9.58 -1.87

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.17 1.09 -1.51 -1.87 -1.58

Competitive Comparison of Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hefei Urban Construction Development Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hefei Urban Construction Development Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7247+0.528 * 1.2755+0.404 * 1.9878+0.892 * 1.6745+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4872+4.679 * 0.018048-0.327 * 0.9826
=-1.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥3,391 Mil.
Revenue was 397.119 + 3720.756 + 1199.037 + 1969.839 = ¥7,287 Mil.
Gross Profit was 64.059 + 803.539 + 239.016 + 290.885 = ¥1,397 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥35,190 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥38,436 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥159 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥337 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥19,232 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥8,529 Mil.
Net Income was -59.281 + -48.484 + 96.339 + 142.386 = ¥131 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -822.477 + 299.09 + -1034.627 + 995.283 = ¥-563 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,794 Mil.
Revenue was 1007.788 + 2413.312 + 299.262 + 631.116 = ¥4,351 Mil.
Gross Profit was 183.751 + 525.647 + 114.178 + 240.887 = ¥1,064 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥34,359 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥35,950 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥139 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥135 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥17,939 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥8,486 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3390.752 / 7286.751) / (2794.012 / 4351.478)
=0.465331 / 0.642083
=0.7247

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1064.463 / 4351.478) / (1397.499 / 7286.751)
=0.244621 / 0.191786
=1.2755

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (35189.969 + 158.719) / 38435.752) / (1 - (34358.872 + 138.506) / 35949.985)
=0.080318 / 0.040406
=1.9878

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7286.751 / 4351.478
=1.6745

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 138.506)) / (0 / (0 + 158.719))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(336.77 / 7286.751) / (135.233 / 4351.478)
=0.046217 / 0.031077
=1.4872

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8528.781 + 19232.002) / 38435.752) / ((8485.744 + 17939.215) / 35949.985)
=0.722265 / 0.735048
=0.9826

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(130.96 - 0 - -562.731) / 38435.752
=0.018048

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co has a M-score of -1.58 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hefei Urban Construction Development Co (SZSE:002208) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 319 Changjiang Middle Road, Renhe Tower, 23-24F, Hefei, Anhui, CHN, 230061
Hefei Urban Construction Development Co Ltd is a real estate company. The company is focusing on the development and construction of residential real estate, commercial real estate and office buildings.
Executives
Tian Feng Secretary, Director
Wu Qian Qiu Executives
Xu Shu Ping Independent director
Tian Ran Supervisors
Zheng Pei Fei Supervisors
Wang Qing Sheng Executives
Xu Hong Directors, executives
Chen Qi Mei Directors, executives
He Yi Ou Executives
Ding Yan Executives
Wang Xiao Yi Director
Hang Hao Executives
Yuan Ke Jun Executives
Zhang Jin Sheng Executives, executives, directors

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co (SZSE:002208) Headlines

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