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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD.PF.I.PFD) Beneish M-Score : -2.08 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is The Toronto-Dominion Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Toronto-Dominion Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:TD.PF.I.PFD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.46   Max: -1.59
Current: -2.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Toronto-Dominion Bank was -1.59. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.46.


The Toronto-Dominion Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Toronto-Dominion Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0147+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1+0.892 * 1.1226+0.115 * 0.9328
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0238+4.679 * 0.021534-0.327 * 1.147
=-2.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr24) TTM:Last Year (Apr23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$56,713.00 Mil.
Revenue was 13695 + 13641 + 14762 + 12768 = C$54,866.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13695 + 13641 + 14762 + 12768 = C$54,866.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$0.00 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,966,668.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$9,517.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$1,992.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$22,687.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$195,560.00 Mil.
Net Income was 2564 + 2824 + 2886 + 2963 = C$11,237.00 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = C$0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5281 + -20112 + 14518 + -30801 = C$-31,114.00 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$49,789.00 Mil.
Revenue was 12460 + 12985 + 11926 + 11503 = C$48,874.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was 12460 + 12985 + 11926 + 11503 = C$48,874.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$0.00 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,926,452.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$9,364.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$1,803.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$19,740.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$167,012.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(56713 / 54866) / (49789 / 48874)
=1.033664 / 1.018722
=1.0147

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48874 / 48874) / (54866 / 54866)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 9517) / 1966668) / (1 - (0 + 9364) / 1926452)
=0.995161 / 0.995139
=1

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=54866 / 48874
=1.1226

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1803 / (1803 + 9364)) / (1992 / (1992 + 9517))
=0.161458 / 0.173082
=0.9328

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(22687 / 54866) / (19740 / 48874)
=0.413498 / 0.403896
=1.0238

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((195560 + 0) / 1966668) / ((167012 + 0) / 1926452)
=0.099437 / 0.086694
=1.147

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11237 - 0 - -31114) / 1966668
=0.021534

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Toronto-Dominion Bank has a M-score of -2.32 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Toronto-Dominion Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD.PF.I.PFD) Business Description

Address
C/o General Counsel’s Office, P.O. Box 1, Toronto-Dominion Centre, King St. W. and Bay St., Toronto, ON, CAN, M5K 1A2
Toronto-Dominion is one of Canada's two largest banks and operates three business segments: Canadian retail banking, U.S. retail banking, and wholesale banking. The bank's U.S. operations span from Maine to Florida, with a strong presence in the Northeast. It also has a 13% ownership stake in Charles Schwab.