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Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS (Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TTOFF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.3   Max: -0.53
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS was -0.53. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.30.


Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.26 -1.73 -2.24 -0.53 -2.36

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.53 -1.94 -2.09 -1.72 -2.36

Competitive Comparison of Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7693+0.528 * 0.6766+0.404 * 0.8795+0.892 * 0.7184+0.115 * 1.4853
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5075+4.679 * 0.073827-0.327 * 0.827
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $878 Mil.
Revenue was 2058.256 + 1005.972 + 1004.557 + 1006.993 = $5,076 Mil.
Gross Profit was 267.312 + 228.708 + 225.875 + 186.956 = $909 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,081 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,705 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $326 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $144 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $157 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,223 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $175 Mil.
Net Income was 90.031 + 188.626 + 208.443 + 128.082 = $615 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -105.439 + -69.43 + 314.736 + 275.586 = $415 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,589 Mil.
Revenue was 4501.476 + 892.829 + 925.307 + 746.019 = $7,066 Mil.
Gross Profit was 410.041 + 163.31 + 161.89 + 120.807 = $856 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,959 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,955 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $500 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $419 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,305 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $167 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(878.024 / 5075.778) / (1588.708 / 7065.631)
=0.172983 / 0.22485
=0.7693

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(856.048 / 7065.631) / (908.851 / 5075.778)
=0.121157 / 0.179056
=0.6766

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2080.736 + 325.54) / 2705.376) / (1 - (2958.526 + 499.727) / 3955.499)
=0.110558 / 0.12571
=0.8795

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5075.778 / 7065.631
=0.7184

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(419.041 / (419.041 + 499.727)) / (144.258 / (144.258 + 325.54))
=0.45609 / 0.307064
=1.4853

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(157.311 / 5075.778) / (145.261 / 7065.631)
=0.030992 / 0.020559
=1.5075

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((175.133 + 1223.122) / 2705.376) / ((166.822 + 2305.085) / 3955.499)
=0.516843 / 0.624929
=0.827

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(615.182 - 0 - 415.453) / 2705.376
=0.073827

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS (Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Buyukdere Cad. No: 145 Tofas Han, Zincirlikuyu, Istanbul, TUR, 34394
Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS is a Turkish automotive manufacturer of both passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. Its core business s manufacturing, exporting and selling passenger cars and light commercial vehicles under licenses of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles S.p.A. (Fiat). The company manufactures for a range of passenger cars i.e. Fiat Linea, Egea models, and others. Tofas also acts as a distributor of the Fiat, Alfa Romeo, Jeep, Lancia, Maserati, and Ferrari brands in Turkey. It also produces various automotive spare parts used in its automobiles. The company has three business divisions namely Automobile, Trading of spare parts, and Consumer finance.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS (Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS) Headlines

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