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Stalprodukt (WAR:STP) Beneish M-Score : -2.96 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Stalprodukt Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.96 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:STP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.96

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Stalprodukt was -2.08. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.54.


Stalprodukt Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Stalprodukt Beneish M-Score Chart

Stalprodukt Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.97 -2.08 -2.23 -2.96

Stalprodukt Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.41 -2.59 -2.81 -2.96

Competitive Comparison of Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stalprodukt's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Stalprodukt Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Stalprodukt for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8452+0.528 * 1.9929+0.404 * 0.8138+0.892 * 0.7808+0.115 * 0.9636
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1481+4.679 * -0.136807-0.327 * 0.7717
=-2.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł460 Mil.
Revenue was 999.778 + 1065.237 + 1246.823 + 1298.124 = zł4,610 Mil.
Gross Profit was -2.771 + 58.188 + 74.579 + 207.328 = zł337 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł2,622 Mil.
Total Assets was zł4,836 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł2,066 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł181 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł275 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł584 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł118 Mil.
Net Income was -8.717 + 13.576 + -28.954 + 112.536 = zł88 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 217.186 + 283.57 + -6.982 + 256.302 = zł750 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł698 Mil.
Revenue was 1406.104 + 1446.828 + 1577.654 + 1473.784 = zł5,904 Mil.
Gross Profit was 163.431 + 190.085 + 263.795 + 243.706 = zł861 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł2,860 Mil.
Total Assets was zł5,181 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł2,126 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł179 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł307 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł864 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł110 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(460.29 / 4609.962) / (697.503 / 5904.37)
=0.099847 / 0.118133
=0.8452

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(861.017 / 5904.37) / (337.324 / 4609.962)
=0.145827 / 0.073173
=1.9929

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2621.699 + 2066.23) / 4836.27) / (1 - (2859.891 + 2126.171) / 5181.355)
=0.030673 / 0.037691
=0.8138

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4609.962 / 5904.37
=0.7808

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(179.279 / (179.279 + 2126.171)) / (181.379 / (181.379 + 2066.23))
=0.077763 / 0.080699
=0.9636

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(275.195 / 4609.962) / (306.997 / 5904.37)
=0.059696 / 0.051995
=1.1481

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((117.618 + 584.251) / 4836.27) / ((110.043 + 864.345) / 5181.355)
=0.145126 / 0.188057
=0.7717

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(88.441 - 0 - 750.076) / 4836.27
=-0.136807

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Stalprodukt has a M-score of -2.96 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Stalprodukt Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Stalprodukt (WAR:STP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
ul. Wygoda 69, Bochnia, POL, 32-700
Stalprodukt SA is a Poland-based company that is primarily engaged in manufacturing and marketing of steel products. The company operates through three segments. Its electrical sheets segment manufactures electrical sheets, strips, and toroidal cores. Its profiles segment produces cold formed profiles, road safety barriers and others. Its zinc segment manufactures zinc and zinc alloys, lead, flotation galena, and others. The company owns a proprietary distribution network of metallurgical products, which consists of wholesale warehouses and offices in several cities in the territory of Poland. The company sells its products both in the home market and abroad.

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