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Orange Belgium (XBRU:OBEL) Beneish M-Score : -2.78 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBRU:OBEL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.47   Med: -3.19   Max: -2.78
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orange Belgium was -2.78. The lowest was -3.47. And the median was -3.19.


Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Chart

Orange Belgium Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.27 -3.38 -3.47 -2.86 -2.78

Orange Belgium Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.47 -3.03 -2.86 1.71 -2.78

Competitive Comparison of Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orange Belgium for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0752+0.528 * 0.9228+0.404 * 0.9741+0.892 * 1.2597+0.115 * 1.5103
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3943+4.679 * -0.091442-0.327 * 1.348
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €307 Mil.
Revenue was €1,723 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,083 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €463 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,125 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,988 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €393 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €110 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,068 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,080 Mil.
Net Income was €0 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €377 Mil.
Total Receivables was €226 Mil.
Revenue was €1,367 Mil.
Gross Profit was €793 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €315 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,092 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €905 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €300 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €63 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €845 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €338 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(306.59 / 1722.521) / (226.363 / 1367.416)
=0.177989 / 0.165541
=1.0752

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(793.37 / 1367.416) / (1083.016 / 1722.521)
=0.580197 / 0.628739
=0.9228

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (462.803 + 1988.279) / 4125.414) / (1 - (315.181 + 904.931) / 2091.549)
=0.405858 / 0.416647
=0.9741

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1722.521 / 1367.416
=1.2597

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(300.261 / (300.261 + 904.931)) / (392.78 / (392.78 + 1988.279))
=0.24914 / 0.16496
=1.5103

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(110.267 / 1722.521) / (62.782 / 1367.416)
=0.064015 / 0.045913
=1.3943

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2079.901 + 1067.5) / 4125.414) / ((338.311 + 845.465) / 2091.549)
=0.76293 / 0.565981
=1.348

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(0.044 - 0 - 377.279) / 4125.414
=-0.091442

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orange Belgium has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Orange Belgium (XBRU:OBEL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenue du Bourget 3, Brussels, BEL, BE-1140
Orange Belgium SA is a triple-play telecommunications company that provides mobile, fixed telephone, digital TV, and broadband Internet services to households and companies. In terms of products, the majority of revenue comes from mobile services. most of the group's mobile customers are postpaid subscribers. The company also operates in Luxembourg, but overall company revenue comes mostly from Belgium. Orange Belgium owns telecommunications infrastructure, including fiber networks. The company also acts as a wholesaler, allowing mobile virtual network operators access to Orange Belgium's infrastructure.

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