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Bulgartabac Holding AD (XBUL:BTH) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Bulgartabac Holding AD Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bulgartabac Holding AD was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.


Bulgartabac Holding AD Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bulgartabac Holding AD Beneish M-Score Chart

Bulgartabac Holding AD Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 7.15 -4.20 -0.31 -2.70 -

Bulgartabac Holding AD Quarterly Data
Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.60 -3.13 -3.29 -

Competitive Comparison of Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score

For the Tobacco subindustry, Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bulgartabac Holding AD's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Bulgartabac Holding AD Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bulgartabac Holding AD for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7409+0.528 * 1.08+0.404 * 1.043+0.892 * 0.6789+0.115 * 1.2421
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1346+4.679 * -0.097002-0.327 * 1.079
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec16) TTM:Last Year (Dec15) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв128.1 Mil.
Revenue was 108.575 + 93.793 + 43.551 + 89.574 = лв335.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 51.523 + 22.713 + 18.292 + 41.612 = лв134.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв266.1 Mil.
Total Assets was лв728.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв180.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв20.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв43.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв316.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв66.6 Mil.
Net Income was -23.526 + -4.409 + -8.203 + 19.336 = лв-16.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = лв0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 46.217 + 15.341 + 11.267 + -18.929 = лв53.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв108.4 Mil.
Revenue was 125.488 + 112.749 + 133.221 + 122.712 = лв494.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 51.138 + 48.935 + 60.243 + 53.066 = лв213.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв267.8 Mil.
Total Assets was лв674.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв156.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв22.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв56.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв270.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв58.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(128.132 / 335.493) / (108.41 / 494.17)
=0.381922 / 0.219378
=1.7409

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(213.382 / 494.17) / (134.14 / 335.493)
=0.431799 / 0.39983
=1.08

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (266.083 + 180.943) / 728.83) / (1 - (267.839 + 156.693) / 674.638)
=0.386653 / 0.370726
=1.043

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=335.493 / 494.17
=0.6789

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22.088 / (22.088 + 156.693)) / (19.986 / (19.986 + 180.943))
=0.123548 / 0.099468
=1.2421

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(43.241 / 335.493) / (56.137 / 494.17)
=0.128888 / 0.113599
=1.1346

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((66.604 + 316.577) / 728.83) / ((58.364 + 270.348) / 674.638)
=0.525748 / 0.487242
=1.079

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-16.802 - 0 - 53.896) / 728.83
=-0.097002

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bulgartabac Holding AD has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Bulgartabac Holding AD Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Bulgartabac Holding AD (XBUL:BTH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
62 Graf Ignatiev Street, Sofia, BGR, 1000
Bulgartabac Holding AD is a cigarettes manufacturer in Bulgaria. The company is an exporter of processed Virginia, Burley & Oriental tobaccos. It supplies aromatic and semi-aromatic types of tobaccos. Its products include Victory, Class S, Femina Slim, Prestige & Welcome.

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