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KT&G (XKRX:033780) Beneish M-Score : -2.82 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is KT&G Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for KT&G's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XKRX:033780' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.05   Med: -2.42   Max: -1.84
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KT&G was -1.84. The lowest was -3.05. And the median was -2.42.


KT&G Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for KT&G's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

KT&G Beneish M-Score Chart

KT&G Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.41 -2.64 -2.13 -2.60

KT&G Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.60 -2.89 -2.84 -2.82

Competitive Comparison of KT&G's Beneish M-Score

For the Tobacco subindustry, KT&G's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KT&G's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, KT&G's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KT&G's Beneish M-Score falls into.



KT&G Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KT&G for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7996+0.528 * 1.0021+0.404 * 0.8988+0.892 * 0.9941+0.115 * 1.1966
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9597+4.679 * -0.024239-0.327 * 1.095
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₩1,875,109 Mil.
Revenue was 1636347 + 1423774 + 1292261 + 1441433 = ₩5,793,815 Mil.
Gross Profit was 855428 + 714122 + 644208 + 621910 = ₩2,835,668 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₩6,987,985 Mil.
Total Assets was ₩13,492,606 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₩2,487,204 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₩246,348 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₩835,722 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₩3,129,534 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₩759,849 Mil.
Net Income was 241243 + 312836 + 286346 + 117518 = ₩957,943 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₩0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 361435 + 206496 + 347187 + 369879 = ₩1,284,997 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₩2,358,753 Mil.
Revenue was 1689510 + 1335995 + 1395670 + 1406742.862 = ₩5,827,918 Mil.
Gross Profit was 827117 + 650894 + 708294 + 672155.719 = ₩2,858,461 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₩6,661,305 Mil.
Total Assets was ₩12,929,380 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₩1,984,986 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₩239,922 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₩875,913 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₩2,990,425 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₩413,267 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1875109 / 5793815) / (2358753.089 / 5827917.862)
=0.32364 / 0.404733
=0.7996

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2858460.719 / 5827917.862) / (2835668 / 5793815)
=0.490477 / 0.48943
=1.0021

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6987985 + 2487204) / 13492606) / (1 - (6661304.837 + 1984985.511) / 12929379.976)
=0.29775 / 0.331268
=0.8988

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5793815 / 5827917.862
=0.9941

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(239922 / (239922 + 1984985.511)) / (246348 / (246348 + 2487204))
=0.107835 / 0.09012
=1.1966

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(835722 / 5793815) / (875913.301 / 5827917.862)
=0.144244 / 0.150296
=0.9597

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((759849 + 3129534) / 13492606) / ((413266.593 + 2990425.067) / 12929379.976)
=0.28826 / 0.263253
=1.095

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(957943 - 0 - 1284997) / 13492606
=-0.024239

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KT&G has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


KT&G Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100, Pyong chon-dong, Daedeog-gu, Daejeon, KOR, 306-712
KT&G Corp manufactures and sells tobacco products in South Korea. Its flagship cigarette brand is Esse. Other brands include This, The One, Bohem, and Raison. More than two thirds of the company's revenue come from tobacco sales in South Korea. Tobacco sales outside of South Korea generate another fourth of the company's total revenue and are generated in the Middle East and Asia, although the company sells its product in roughly 50 countries spanning the globe. The remaining company sales are from KT&G's businesses that invest in real estate and sell ginseng products, cosmetics, and pharmaceuticals.

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