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Akoya Biosciences (Akoya Biosciences) Predictability Rank


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What is Akoya Biosciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Akoya Biosciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Akoya Biosciences Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Akoya Biosciences (Akoya Biosciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Campus Drive, 6th Floor, Marlborough, MA, USA, 01752
Akoya Biosciences Inc is a life sciences technology company. It is delivering spatial biology solutions focused on transforming discovery and clinical research. The company offers the comprehensive, end-to-end solutions for high-parameter tissue analysis from discovery through clinical and translational research, enabling the development of more precise therapies for immuno-oncology and other drug development applications. The company has its geographical presence in North America, APAC and EMEA. It generates majority of the revenue from North America.
Executives
Brian Mckelligon director, officer: President/CEO 100 CAMPUS DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Frederic Pla officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O GENOMIC HEALTH, INC., 101 GALVESTON DRIVE, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063-4700
Goldman Myla Lai director 3595 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
John Frederick Ek officer: Chief Financial Officer 5964 LA PLACE COURT, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Scott Mendel director 5964 LA PLACE COURT, ADDRESS 2, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Matthew Winkler director C/O MIRNA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2150 WOODWARD ST., SUITE 100, AUSTIN TX 78744
Thomas A. Raffin director, 10 percent owner C/O NEWLINK GENETICS CORP., 2503 SOUTH LOOP DR., SUITE 5100, AIMES IA 50010
Robert G Shepler director
Jennifer Kamocsay officer: General Counsel 100 CAMPUS DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, MARLBOROUGH MA 01762
Joseph Driscoll officer: Chief Financial Officer 5 DICARLO ROAD, HOPKINTON MA 01748
Nolan Garry Ph.d. director 100 CAMPUS DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Thomas P Schnettler director 800 NICOLLET MALL, J1012057, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402-7020
Ehab El-gabry officer: Chief Medical Officer 100 CAMPUS DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Marilee Moy officer: Chief People Officer 100 CAMPUS DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Ramachandran Niro Ph.d officer: Chief Business Officer 100 CAMPUS DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752