Bridge Investment Group Holdings (Bridge Investment Group Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Bridge Investment Group Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Bridge Investment Group Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Bridge Investment Group Holdings (Bridge Investment Group Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc (NYSE:BRDG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

53S:Germany

Address

111 East Sego Lily Drive, Suite 400, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 84070

Website

https://www.bridgeig.com

Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc is a vertically integrated real estate investment manager, diversified across specialized asset classes. The company combines its nationwide operating platform with dedicated teams of investment professionals focused on select U.S. real estate verticals: multifamily, affordable housing, seniors housing, office, development, logistics net lease, logistics properties, debt strategies, and agency mortgage-backed securities.

Executives

Garrett Behling	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SANDY UT 84070
Chad A Leat	director	C/O UNITED AMERICA INDEMNITY GROUP INC., 3 BALA PLAZA EAST, SUITE 300, BALA CYNWYD PA 19004
Katherine Elsnab	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O BRIDGE INVESTMENT GROUP HOLDINGS INC, 111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84070
Deborah C Hopkins	director	1007 MARKET ST, WILMINGTON DE 19898
Adam O'farrell	director, officer: See Remarks	C/O BRIDGE INVESTMENT GROUP HOLDINGS INC, 111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84070
Robert Randolph Morse	director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks	1000 PARK AVENUE, APT 3, NEW YORK NY 10028
Debra M Chase	director	C/O B&G FOODS, INC., FOUR GATEHALL DRIVE, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Jonathan Slager	director, officer: See Remarks	C/O BRIDGE INVESTMENT GROUP HOLDINGS INC, 111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84070
Bridge Founders Group, Llc	10 percent owner	111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84070
Chad D. Briggs	officer: See Remarks	C/O BRIDGE INVESTMENT GROUP HOLDINGS INC, 111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84070
Dean Allara	director, officer: See Remarks	C/O BRIDGE INVESTMENT GROUP HOLDINGS INC, 111 EAST SEGO LILY DRIVE, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84070