Checkmate Pharmaceuticals (Checkmate Pharmaceuticals) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Checkmate Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Checkmate Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Checkmate Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Checkmate Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Checkmate Pharmaceuticals (Checkmate Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Checkmate Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:CMPI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

245 Main Street, 2nd Floor, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142

Website

https://www.checkmatepharma.com

Checkmate Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing its proprietary technology to harness the power of the immune system to combat cancer.

Executives

Venbio Global Strategic Fund Ii L.p.	10 percent owner	1700 OWENS STREET, SUITE 595, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Alan Bash	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O CHECKMATE PAHRMACEUTICALS, INC. 245 MAIN STREET 2ND FLOOR CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Novo Holdings A/s	10 percent owner	TUBORG HAVNEVEJ 19, HELLERUP G7 2900
Jon Marc Wigginton	director	9640 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Joy Yan	director	10975 NORTH TORREY PINES ROAD, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Arthur M Krieg	director, officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O CHECKMATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 245 MAIN STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Robert Dolski	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O CHECKMATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 245 MAIN STREET, 2ND FLOOR CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Barry Labinger	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O CHECKMATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 245 MAIN STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Peter Colabuono	director	C/O DECHENG CAPITAL 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, BUILDING 2, STE 110 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Oren Isacoff	director	C/O LONGITUDE CAPITAL 2740 SAND HILL ROAD, 2ND FLOOR MENLO PARK CA 94025
Karen Brennan	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O CHECKMATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 245 MAIN STREET, 2ND FLOOR CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Kleem Chaudhary	officer: Chief Business Officer	C/O CHECKMATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 245 MAIN STREET, 2ND FLOOR CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Venbio Global Strategic Gp Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	1700 OWENS STREET, SUITE 595, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Venbio Global Strategic Gp Ii, Ltd.	10 percent owner	1700 OWENS STREET, SUITE 595, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Nilesh Kumar	director	C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD, STE 420, MONTR?AL A8 H4M 2X6