Eliem Therapeutics (Eliem Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Eliem Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Eliem Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Eliem Therapeutics Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Eliem Therapeutics's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Eliem Therapeutics (Eliem Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Eliem Therapeutics Inc (NAS:ELYM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

23515 NE Novelty Hill Road, Suite B221 No. 125, Redmond, WA, USA, 98053

Website

https://www.eliemtx.com

Eliem Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. It is focused on developing novel therapies for neuronal excitability disorders to address unmet needs in chronic pain, psychiatry, epilepsy and other disorders of the peripheral and central nervous systems.

Executives

Emily Pimblett	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O ELIEM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 23515 NE NOVELTY HILL RD, STE B221 #125, REDMOND WA 98053
Ai Eti Llc	10 percent owner	C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, INC., 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp	director, 10 percent owner	200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Judith Dunn	director	C/O SEELOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 300 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Valerie Morisset	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O ELIEM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 23515 NE NOVELTY HILL RD, STE B221 #125, REDMOND WA 98053
Andrew David Levin	director	C/O ELIEM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 23515 NE NOVELTY HILL RD, STE B221 #125, REDMOND WA 98053
Simon Tate	director	C/O ELIEM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 23515 NE NOVELTY HILL RD, STE B221 #125, REDMOND WA 98053
Adam Joseph Rosenberg	director	C/O ELIEM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 23515 NE NOVELTY HILL RD, STE B221 #125, REDMOND WA 98053
James B Bucher	officer: EVP and General Counsel	11804 NORTH CREEK PARKWAY S, BOTHELL WA 98011
Ra Capital Nexus Fund Ii, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Erin Lavelle	officer: COO & CFO	C/O ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 11804 NORTH CREEK PARKWAY SOUTH, BOTHELL WA 98011
Ra Capital Nexus Fund, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Len Blavatnik	other: Affiliate of 10% Owner	C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, 730 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019
Liam Ratcliffe	director	C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, INC, 40 WEST 57TH ST, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Azelby	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	307 WESTLAKE AVE. NORTH, STE 300, SEATTLE WA 98109