Feutune Light Acquisition (Feutune Light Acquisition) Predictability Rank

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What is Feutune Light Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Feutune Light Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Feutune Light Acquisition (Feutune Light Acquisition) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Feutune Light Acquisition Corp (NAS:FLFV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

48 Bridge Street, Building A, Metuchen, NJ, USA, 08840

Website

Feutune Light Acquisition Corp is a newly organized blank check company.

Executives

Wenbing Wang	director	21ST FLOOR, BUILDING B, JIA MING CENTER, NO. 27 DONG SAN HUAN NORTH ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100020
Michael Davidov	other: Former Director	60 EAST 42 STREET, NEW YORK NY 10165
Plc Barclays	10 percent owner	1 CHURCHILL PLACE, CANARY WHARF, LONDON X0 E14 5HP
Yuanmei Ma	officer: CFO	ROOM 605A TOWER A, RAYCOM INFO TECH PARK, NO. 2 KEXUEYUAN S. RD., ZHONGGUANCUN, HAIDIAN DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100080
Lei Xu	director, other: President and chairwoman	1818 LINDA VISTA CIR., FULLERTON CA 92831
Feutune Light Sponsor Llc	10 percent owner	48 BRIDGE STREET, BUILDING A, METUCHEN NJ 08840
Xuedong Tian	director, officer: CEO and Director	48 BRIDGE STREET, BUILDING A, METUCHEN NJ 08840
Sau Fong Yeung	10 percent owner	48 BRIDGE STREET, BUILDING A, METUCHEN NJ 08840
Kevin Vassily	director	C/O IPOWER INC., 2399 BATEMAN AVENUE, DUARTE CA 91010
Ping Li	director	A1 68 XINXIA STREET, PINGHU, LONGGANG, SHENZHEN, GUANDONG F4 518111