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Freescale Semiconductor (Freescale Semiconductor) Predictability Rank


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What is Freescale Semiconductor Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Freescale Semiconductor Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Freescale Semiconductor Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Freescale Semiconductor's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Freescale Semiconductor (Freescale Semiconductor) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Freescale Semiconductor Ltd was incorporated in Delaware on December 3, 2003. The Company provides embedded processors such as microcontrollers and digital networking processors. Its embedded processors, along with its analog, sensor and radio frequency devices, as well as a full suite of software and design tools, it provides integrated embedded processing solutions. The Company's business is organized around five principal product groups: Microcontrollers, Digital Networking, Automotive Microcontrollers, Analog and Sensors, and Radio Frequency. The Company's embedded processor products include Microcontrollers, single and multicore MPUs, Digital Signal Controllers, applications processors and Digital Signal Processors. It also offers Radio Frequency, power management, motor drivers, high voltage actuators, analog, mixed-signal devices and precision sensors. The Company's Communications Processors product portfolio includes 32-bit and 64-bit offerings ranging from a single core to 28- and 45-nanometer multicore QorIQ communications processors. It's Microcontrollers product portfolio ranges from ultra-low power, low-end 8-bit products to higher performance 16-bit and 32-bit products with on-board flash memory such as the Qorivva product line. Its wireless products utilize and support multiple standards and frequencies, including the IEEE standard 802.15.4, and sub-1 GHz solutions in its solutions for medical devices, smart meters and smart energy, consumer appliances, Radio Frequency remote controls and home automation. The Company provides Applications Processors such as ARM-based i.MX application processors with integrated audio, video and graphics capability. Its Digital Signal Processors product portfolio includes single-core to multicore based on the StarCore architecture. Its Analog and Mixed-Signal products portfolio includes driving actuators such as in motors, valves, and lights, switching large currents, regulating power to electronic components in a system, charging and cell balancing batteries and providing precision sense and control interfaces for complex analog systems. The Company's Xtrinsic smart sensor platforms combine inertial sensors and embedded processors with connectivity and power management supported by a reference software toolset. The Company's Radio Frequency power portfolio includes solutions from 1 watt to more than 1 kilowatt. Its low power portfolio provides a mix of Radio Frequency small signal and low power products. The Company sells its products directly to OEMs, distributors, original design manufacturers and contract manufacturers. It owns and operates five manufacturing facilities, of which three are wafer fabrication facilities and two are assembly and test facilities.
Executives
Blackstone Family Investment Partnership (cayman) V L.p. director, 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Tc Group Cayman Investment Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED, 190 ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9001
Carlyle Group Inc. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004
Carlyle Group Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP L.P., 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Carlyle Holdings Ii Gp L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP L.P., 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Carlyle Holdings Ii L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP L.P., 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Tc Group Cayman Investment Holdings Sub L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WALKER CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED, 190 ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9001
Blackstone Family Gp Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Capital Partners (cayman) V L.p. director, 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Management Associates (cayman) V L.p. director, 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp Management L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Lr Associates (cayman) V Ltd. director, 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Participation Partnership (cayman) V L.p. director, 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bcp (cayman) V-s L.p. director, 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Family Investment Partnership (cayman) V-smd L.p. director, 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154

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