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Integrated Environmental Technologies (Integrated Environmental Technologies) Predictability Rank


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What is Integrated Environmental Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Integrated Environmental Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Integrated Environmental Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Integrated Environmental Technologies (Integrated Environmental Technologies) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Integrated Environmental Technologies Ltd (OTCPK:IEVM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
IPKSF ARGEF GLTC LTBR EVLLF CTDH BLGO KMRAF BIOA TTTRF TREC LXU FF WLKP RYAM NXEO OCIP AECLF SHLM ASIX
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4235 Commerce Street, Little River, SC, USA, 29566
Website
http://www.ecotreatments.com
Integrated Environmental Technologies Ltd is a US based company engaged in the production of a hypochlorous acid based solution, commonly known as anolyte and anti-oxidizing, mildly alkaline solution, commonly known as catholyte. It markets anolyte under the brand name Excelyte and catholyte under the brand name Catholyte Zero. The group also manufactures equipment to produce Excelyte and Catholyte Zero. It sells the products to customers in the oil and gas industry and in other industries. Its oil and gas customers are located in Utah, New Mexico and Texas and the other customers are located in the geographical regions throughout the US. The firm segments its activities in the oil and gas business into three categories, Well Maintenance, Drilling and Completions and Water Remediation.
Executives
Lavance David R Jr director, officer: President and CEO C/O HOLOGIC, INC., BEDFORD MA 01730
Anthony Iii Giordano director 4 KELLY LANE, LONG BRANCH NJ 07740
Kubacki Raymond C Jr director 125 NAGOG PARK, ACTON MA 01720
William E Prince director, officer: President & CEO
Paul Branagan other: Former Director of the Company
Gary Grieco 10 percent owner 10457 W. 84TH TERRACE, LENEXA KS 66214

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