Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Inteliquent Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
Predictables
Non-Predictable
All stocks
Total Number of stocks
570
1833
2403
Total Lost Money
61
830
891
Total Lost More Than 50%
18
412
430
Total Lost More Than 90%
4
86
90
Average Gain
260.6%
100.0%
138.1%
Median Gain
150.0%
13.0%
39.0%
Maximum Gain
2852.0%
11483.0%
11483.0%
Maximum Loss
-100.0%
-100.0%
-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain
12.7%
6.7%
8.4%
Annualized Median Gain
8.9%
1.1%
3.1%
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Inteliquent's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Inteliquent Inc was incorporated on April 19, 2001 in Delaware and commenced its operations in 2004. The Company provides voice telecommunications services on a wholesale basis. It offers telecommunication services using an all-IP network, which enables it to deliver connectivity for a variety of media, including voice, and historically data and video. The Company's solutions enable carriers and other providers to deliver voice traffic or other services where it does not own a network or elect not to use their own network. These solutions are sometimes called off-net services. The Company also provides its solutions to customers, such as over-the-top providers, who also typically do not have their own network. Its services include Local Transit Service, Long Distance Service, Switched Access Service, International Voice Service, Direct Inward Dialing Service, 8XX (Toll-Free) Service. Its customers include AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile. Its competitors are the traditional ILECs (AT&T, Verizon and CenturyLink), other competitive carriers that provide tandem or similar services (Level 3, Peerless Network, and Hypercube), and direct connections between carriers. It is subject to the jurisdiction of both federal and state regulatory agencies, which have the authority to review prices, terms and conditions of service.
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