DWS Multi-marketome Trust (DWS Multi-marketome Trust) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is DWS Multi-marketome Trust Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DWS Multi-marketome Trust Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

DWS Multi-marketome Trust Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DWS Multi-marketome Trust's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

DWS Multi-marketome Trust (DWS Multi-marketome Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » DWS Multi-market Income Trust (NYSE:KMM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

https://www.fundsus.deutscheam.com

DWS Multi-market Income Trust is a closed-end, diversified management investment company. The fund's investment objective is to provide high current income consistent with prudent total return asset management.

Executives

Michelle S. Goveia	other: Chief Compliance Officer of IA	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Sheila Cadogan	officer: Assistant Treasurer	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Wahgo Chang	other: Director of Investment Adviser	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Fiona Bassett	other: Director of Investment Adviser	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 11752
John Cassedy	other: EVP of Investmemt Adviser	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Paul Blodgett	other: Director of Investment Adviser	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Gregory Staples	other: Director of Investment Adviser	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Patrick Robert Mccarthy	other: Section 16 reporting officer	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Scott D Hogan	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Erik Mogavero	officer: Chief Compliance Officer of IA	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Thomas Roberts Bouchard	other: Portfolio Manager	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Gregory Richter	other: Section 16 Reporting Person	C/O DEUTSCHE BANK, 5022 GATE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JACKSONVILLE FL 32256
Kenneth C Froewiss	director
Wayne Salit	officer: AML Compliance Officer	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Brian Costello	other: Director & COO of Inv. Adviser	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005

DWS Multi-marketome Trust (DWS Multi-marketome Trust) Headlines

No Headlines