What is KushCo Holdings Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
KushCo Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
KushCo Holdings (KushCo Holdings) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6261 Katella Avenue, Suite 250, Cypress, CA, USA, 90630
KushCo Holdings Inc is engaged in marketing and selling of customized packaging products, vaporizers, hydrocarbon gases, solvents, accessories and branding solutions to customers operating in the regulated medical and recreational cannabis industries. The firm's packaging products consist of bottles, bags, tubes, and containers. Its subsidiaries and brands provide product quality, customer service, compliance knowledge and a local presence in serving its diverse customer base. The firm has sold more than 1 billion units to growers, processors and producers across North America, South America, and Europe.
Executives
| Stephen Christoffersen |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
6261 KATELLA AVENUE, SUITE 250, CYPRESS CA 90630 |
| Peter A. Kadens |
director |
C/O KUSHCO HOLDINGS, INC., 6261 KATELLA AVE STE 250, CYPRESS CA 90630 |
| Nicholas Kovacevich |
director, officer: Chairman and CEO |
2618 SAN MIGUEL DRIVE, #480, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660 |
| Oliveira Rodrigo De |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
C/O KUSHCO HOLDINGS, INC., 11958 MONARCH STREET, GARDEN GROVE CA 92841 |
| Donald H Hunter |
director |
C/O HARBOR GLOBAL CO LTD, ONE FANEUIL HALL MARKET PLACE, BOSTON MA 02109 |
| Barbara Goodstein |
director |
23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733 |
| Dallas Imbimbo |
director |
1800 NEWPORT CIRCLE, SANTA ANA CA 92705 |
| Eric Baum |
director |
866 BERKSHIRE DRIVE, WESTBURY NY 11590 |
| Christopher Tedford |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
C/O KUSHCO HOLDINGS, INC. 11958 MONARCH STREET GARDEN GROVE CA 92841 |
| Jason Vegotsky |
officer: Chief Revenue Officer |
C/O KUSHCO HOLDINGS, INC. 11958 MONARCH STREET GARDEN GROVE CA 92841 |
| Jim Mccormick |
officer: CFO and COO |
1800 NEWPORT CIRCLE SANTA ANA CA 92705 |
| Ben Wu |
other: Consultant, Former COO |
1800 NEWPORT CIRCLE SANTA ANA CA 92705 |
| Chris Martin |
other: None |
1800 NEWPORT CIRCLE SANTA ANA CA 92705 |
| Greg Gamet |
other: None |
3539 GAYLORD STREET DENVER CO 80205 |
| Jeffrey Meng |
10 percent owner |
17595 HARVARD STREET C552 IRVINE CA 92614 |
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