Liberated Syndication (Liberated Syndication) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is Liberated Syndication Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Liberated Syndication Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Liberated Syndication Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Liberated Syndication's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Liberated Syndication (Liberated Syndication) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Liberated Syndication Inc (OTCPK:LSYN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5001 Baum Boulevard, Suite 770, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15213

Website

http://www.libsyn.com

Liberated Syndication Inc is engaged in providing podcast hosting services offering hosting and distribution tools which include storage, bandwidth, RSS creation, distribution, and statistics tracking. Its segments are Podcast hosting services (Libsyn) and Internet hosting services (Pair). The producers can upload podcast episodes through libsyn interface or via FTP to manage to publish to online directories, web portals, content aggregators, app marketplaces, and social media platforms for download and streaming.

Executives

Bradley M Tirpak	director	50 ORCHARD ST., NEW YORK NY 10002
Eric Shahinian	director	350 PARK AVE, 13TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brian Kibby	director	5001 BAUM BOULEVARD SUITE 770 PITTSBURGH PA 15213
Richard Heyse	officer: Chief Financial Officer	259 PROSPECT PLAINS ROAD, BUILDING G, P O BOX 8000, CRANBURY NJ 08512-8000
Laurie Ann Sims	officer: President and COO	5001 BAUM BOULEVARD SUITE 770 PITTSBURGH PA 15213
Christopher J Spencer	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
John Lawrence Busshaus	other: Former Chief Financial Officer	5001 BAUM BOULEVARD, SUITE 770 PITTSBURGH PA 15213
Douglas Michael Polinsky	director	130 LAKE ST. WEST, WAYZATA MN 55391
Denis Yevstifeyev	director	5001 BAUM BLVD. SUITE 770 PITTSBURGH PA 15213
John Greg Smith	director	5001 BAUM BLVD. SUITE 770 PITTSBURGH PA 15213