Nabors Energy Transition (Nabors Energy Transition) Predictability Rank

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What is Nabors Energy Transition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Nabors Energy Transition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Nabors Energy Transition (Nabors Energy Transition) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Nabors Energy Transition Corp (NYSE:NETC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

515 West Greens Road, Suite 1200, Houston, TX, USA, 77067

Website

https://www.nabors-etcorp.com

Nabors Energy Transition Corp is a blank check company.

Executives

John Yearwood	director	HADRIAN HOUSE, WINCOMBLEE ROAD, NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE X0 NE6 3PL
Maria S. Dreyfus	director	125 WEST 55TH STREET, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Anthony G Petrello	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO and Secretary	NABORS CORP SERVICES, 515 W GREENS RD SUITE 1200`, HOUSTON TX 77067
William J Restrepo	officer: Chief Financial Officer	P.O. BOX 60068, HOUSTON TX 77205-0068
Guillermo Sierra	officer: VP, Energy Transition	C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jennifer Gill Roberts	director	C/O SEVIN ROSEN FUNDS, 13455 NOEL ROAD, SUITE 1670, DALLAS TX 75240
Calhoun Colleen	director	515 W. GREENS ROAD, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77067
Siggi Meissner	officer: President, Eng. & Tech.	515 W. GREENS ROAD, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77067
Nabors Energy Transition Sponsor Llc	10 percent owner	515 W. GREENS ROAD, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77067
Greens Road Energy Llc	10 percent owner	515 W. GREENS ROAD, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77067
Nabors Lux 2 S.a.r.l.	10 percent owner	8-10 AVENUE DE LA GARE, LUXEMBOURG CITY N4 L-1610